First Bancshares Pink Sheet Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

Triple exponential smoothing for First Bancshares - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When First Bancshares prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in First Bancshares price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of First Bancshares.

First Bancshares Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 29th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of First Bancshares on the next trading day is expected to be 44.33 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.48, mean absolute percentage error of 0.99, and the sum of the absolute errors of 28.41.

First Bancshares Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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First Bancshares Price Prediction

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First Bancshares Forecasted Value

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of First Bancshares pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent First Bancshares pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past First Bancshares observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older First Bancshares observations.

Predictive Modules for First Bancshares

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as First Bancshares. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 41.13 44.00 46.87 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 38.05 40.92 48.40 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Low Middle High 29.83 39.01 48.18 Details

Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as First Bancshares. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against First Bancshares' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, First Bancshares' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in First Bancshares.

Other Forecasting Options for First Bancshares

For every potential investor in First, whether a beginner or expert, First Bancshares' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. First Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in First. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying First Bancshares' price trends.

First Bancshares Related Equities

Risk & Return

Correlation

First Bancshares Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of First Bancshares' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of First Bancshares' current price.

First Bancshares Market Strength Events

First Bancshares Risk Indicators

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in First Pink Sheet

When determining whether First Bancshares offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of First Bancshares' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of First Bancshares Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on First Bancshares Stock:

How To Invest In First Details

Is First Pink Sheet a good investment? Details

What is First Bancshares' Net Worth? Details

Largest Regional Banks Companies View

Largest Banks - Regional Companies View

Altman Z Score Details

Intrinsic Valuation Details

Financial Analysis Details

Buy or Sell Advice Details

Technical Analysis Details

Please note, there is a significant difference between First Bancshares' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if First Bancshares is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, First Bancshares' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.