Five9 Stock Forward View
| FIVN Stock | USD 16.59 1.18 6.64% |
Five9 Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Five9's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Five9's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Five9 fundamentals over time.
As of today the relative strength indicator of Five9's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.79) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.7798 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.9394 | EPS Estimate Next Year 3.1783 | Wall Street Target Price 32.381 |
Using Five9 hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Five9 Inc from the perspective of Five9 response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Five9 using Five9's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Five9 using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Five9's stock price.
Five9 Short Interest
An investor who is long Five9 may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Five9 and may potentially protect profits, hedge Five9 with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 23.819 | Short Percent 0.1178 | Short Ratio 3.56 | Shares Short Prior Month 6.2 M | 50 Day MA 19.3625 |
Five9 Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Five9 Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 15.88 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.49 and the sum of the absolute errors of 29.79.Five9 Inc Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Five9's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Five9. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Five9 can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Five9 Inc. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Five9's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Five9.
Five9 Implied Volatility | 0.69 |
Five9's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Five9 Inc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Five9's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Five9 stock will not fluctuate a lot when Five9's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Five9 Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 15.88 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.49 and the sum of the absolute errors of 29.79. Five9 after-hype prediction price | USD 16.62 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Five9 to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Five9 contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Five9 Inc will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0431% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Five9 trading at USD 16.59, that is roughly USD 0.007154 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Five9's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Five9 Inc options at the current volatility level of 0.69%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Five9 Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Five9's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Five9's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Five9 stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Five9's open interest, investors have to compare it to Five9's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Five9 is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Five9. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Five9 Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Five9 price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Five9 using various technical indicators. When you analyze Five9 charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Five9 Cash Forecast
Forecasting financial indicators like cash flow involves analysts applying various statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools reveal hidden trends within the Five9's financial statements to estimate their effects on upcoming price movements.
Cash | First Reported 2012-12-31 | Previous Quarter 205.5 M | Current Value 193.4 M | Quarterly Volatility 87.2 M |
Five9 Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 12th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Five9 Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 15.88 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.49, mean absolute percentage error of 0.36, and the sum of the absolute errors of 29.79.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Five9 Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Five9's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Five9 Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Five9 | Five9 Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Five9 Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Five9's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Five9's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 12.52 and 19.24, respectively. We have considered Five9's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Five9 stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Five9 stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.0972 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.4884 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0258 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 29.7943 |
Predictive Modules for Five9
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Five9 Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Five9's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Five9 After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Five9 at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Five9 or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Five9, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Five9 Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Five9's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Five9's historical news coverage. Five9's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 13.26 and 19.98, respectively. We have considered Five9's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Five9 is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Five9 Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.
Five9 Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Five9 is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Five9 backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Five9, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.29 | 3.36 | 0.05 | 0.03 | 9 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
16.59 | 16.62 | 0.06 |
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Five9 Hype Timeline
Five9 Inc is currently traded for 16.59. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.03. Five9 is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 16.62 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 0.06%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.29%. The volatility of related hype on Five9 is about 2871.79%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 16.62. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.04 B. Net Loss for the year was (12.79 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 626.41 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Five9 to cross-verify your projections.Five9 Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Five9's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Five9's future price movements. Getting to know how Five9's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Five9 may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| RAMP | Liveramp Holdings | 0.02 | 28 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 3.04 | (3.86) | 11.46 | |
| EVTC | Evertec | 0.61 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.94 | (3.14) | 11.68 | |
| NTCT | NetScout Systems | 0.24 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 2.52 | (3.31) | 7.63 | |
| PGY | Pagaya Technologies | (0.93) | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 8.51 | (8.21) | 36.68 | |
| TDC | Teradata Corp | 0.16 | 10 per month | 1.88 | 0.1 | 4.26 | (3.66) | 12.23 | |
| MQ | Marqeta | 0.28 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 3.24 | (3.61) | 9.59 | |
| PAYO | Payoneer Global | 0.02 | 11 per month | 1.77 | 0.04 | 5.09 | (3.20) | 13.13 | |
| EVCM | EverCommerce | 0.31 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 4.95 | (5.82) | 20.26 | |
| PRGS | Progress Software | 0.52 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 3.47 | (4.11) | 14.73 | |
| DV | DoubleVerify Holdings | (0.06) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 3.71 | (4.25) | 18.09 |
Other Forecasting Options for Five9
For every potential investor in Five9, whether a beginner or expert, Five9's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Five9 Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Five9. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Five9's price trends.Five9 Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Five9 stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Five9 could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Five9 by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Five9 Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Five9 stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Five9 shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Five9 stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Five9 Inc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 255548.0 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.86) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.93 | |||
| Day Median Price | 17.06 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 16.9 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (1.05) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (1.18) |
Five9 Risk Indicators
The analysis of Five9's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Five9's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting five9 stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.52 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.46 | |||
| Variance | 12.0 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Five9
The number of cover stories for Five9 depends on current market conditions and Five9's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Five9 is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Five9's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Five9 Short Properties
Five9's future price predictability will typically decrease when Five9's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Five9 Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Five9's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Five9's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 74.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Five9 to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Funds Screener module to find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges.
Will Application Software sector continue expanding? Could Five9 diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Five9. Market participants price Five9 higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Five9 data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.79) | Earnings Share 0.38 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.082 | Return On Assets |
Understanding Five9 Inc requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Five9's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Five9's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Five9's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Five9's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Five9 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, Five9's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.