Flutter Entertainment Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| FLUT Stock | 174.91 6.28 3.47% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Flutter Entertainment plc on the next trading day is expected to be 172.52 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.94 and the sum of the absolute errors of 301.15. Flutter Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength indicator of Flutter Entertainment's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.59) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 3.1655 | EPS Estimate Current Year 7.6085 | EPS Estimate Next Year 9.1021 | Wall Street Target Price 285.3333 |
Using Flutter Entertainment hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Flutter Entertainment plc from the perspective of Flutter Entertainment response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Flutter Entertainment using Flutter Entertainment's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Flutter using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Flutter Entertainment's stock price.
Flutter Entertainment Short Interest
An investor who is long Flutter Entertainment may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Flutter Entertainment and may potentially protect profits, hedge Flutter Entertainment with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 251.5585 | Short Percent 0.0493 | Short Ratio 4.38 | Shares Short Prior Month 6.5 M | 50 Day MA 209.464 |
Flutter Entertainment plc Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Flutter Entertainment's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Flutter. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Flutter can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Flutter Entertainment plc. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Flutter Entertainment Implied Volatility | 0.61 |
Flutter Entertainment's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Flutter Entertainment plc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Flutter Entertainment's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Flutter Entertainment stock will not fluctuate a lot when Flutter Entertainment's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Flutter Entertainment plc on the next trading day is expected to be 172.52 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.94 and the sum of the absolute errors of 301.15. Flutter Entertainment after-hype prediction price | USD 173.84 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Flutter Entertainment to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Flutter contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Flutter Entertainment plc will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0381% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Flutter Entertainment trading at USD 174.91, that is roughly USD 0.0667 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Flutter Entertainment's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Flutter Entertainment plc options at the current volatility level of 0.61%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Flutter Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Flutter Entertainment's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Flutter Entertainment's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Flutter Entertainment stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Flutter Entertainment's open interest, investors have to compare it to Flutter Entertainment's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Flutter Entertainment is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Flutter. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Flutter Entertainment Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Flutter price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Flutter using various technical indicators. When you analyze Flutter charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Flutter Entertainment's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 2010-12-31 | Previous Quarter 4 B | Current Value 2.5 B | Quarterly Volatility 1.3 B |
Flutter Entertainment Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 26th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Flutter Entertainment plc on the next trading day is expected to be 172.52 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.94, mean absolute percentage error of 43.78, and the sum of the absolute errors of 301.15.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Flutter Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Flutter Entertainment's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Flutter Entertainment Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Flutter Entertainment | Flutter Entertainment Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Flutter Entertainment Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Flutter Entertainment's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Flutter Entertainment's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 169.83 and 175.22, respectively. We have considered Flutter Entertainment's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Flutter Entertainment stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Flutter Entertainment stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 121.8897 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 4.9369 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0234 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 301.1511 |
Predictive Modules for Flutter Entertainment
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Flutter Entertainment plc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Flutter Entertainment's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Flutter Entertainment After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Flutter Entertainment at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Flutter Entertainment or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Flutter Entertainment, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Flutter Entertainment Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Flutter Entertainment's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Flutter Entertainment's historical news coverage. Flutter Entertainment's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 171.12 and 176.56, respectively. We have considered Flutter Entertainment's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Flutter Entertainment is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Flutter Entertainment plc is based on 3 months time horizon.
Flutter Entertainment Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Flutter Entertainment is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Flutter Entertainment backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Flutter Entertainment, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.50 | 2.69 | 1.05 | 0.04 | 9 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
174.91 | 173.84 | 0.61 |
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Flutter Entertainment Hype Timeline
Flutter Entertainment plc is currently traded for 174.91. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -1.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.04. Flutter is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 173.84. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 128.71%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.61%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.5%. The volatility of related hype on Flutter Entertainment is about 3022.47%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 174.95. About 92.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Flutter Entertainment was currently reported as 52.55. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.11. Flutter Entertainment plc recorded a loss per share of 1.28. The entity last dividend was issued on the 5th of September 2019. The firm had 203351:200000 split on the 9th of April 2020. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Flutter Entertainment to cross-verify your projections.Flutter Entertainment Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Flutter Entertainment's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Flutter Entertainment's future price movements. Getting to know how Flutter Entertainment's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Flutter Entertainment may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| LVS | Las Vegas Sands | 0.51 | 15 per month | 1.24 | 0.11 | 3.19 | (2.38) | 17.14 | |
| CPRT | Copart Inc | (0.89) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 2.22 | (3.52) | 6.88 | |
| CMG | Chipotle Mexican Grill | (0.19) | 9 per month | 3.63 | (0.02) | 4.22 | (2.58) | 19.94 | |
| YUM | Yum Brands | (0.10) | 9 per month | 1.13 | (0.01) | 2.49 | (1.79) | 11.71 | |
| CCL | Carnival | 0.51 | 9 per month | 2.80 | (0.02) | 3.88 | (3.65) | 12.92 | |
| DHI | DR Horton | 0.39 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 4.73 | (3.36) | 10.93 | |
| EBAY | eBay Inc | 0.16 | 10 per month | 3.45 | (0.03) | 2.63 | (3.16) | 17.64 | |
| JD | JD Inc Adr | (0.20) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 2.89 | (2.77) | 7.60 | |
| TCOM | Trip Group Ltd | 0.94 | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.70 | (3.34) | 21.80 | |
| CUK | Carnival Plc ADS | (0.24) | 11 per month | 2.34 | 0.03 | 3.53 | (3.21) | 20.84 |
Other Forecasting Options for Flutter Entertainment
For every potential investor in Flutter, whether a beginner or expert, Flutter Entertainment's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Flutter Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Flutter. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Flutter Entertainment's price trends.Flutter Entertainment Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Flutter Entertainment stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Flutter Entertainment could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Flutter Entertainment by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Flutter Entertainment Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Flutter Entertainment stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Flutter Entertainment shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Flutter Entertainment stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Flutter Entertainment plc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.0391 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.89) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.97 | |||
| Day Median Price | 177.39 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 176.56 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 7.07 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (5.61) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (6.28) |
Flutter Entertainment Risk Indicators
The analysis of Flutter Entertainment's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Flutter Entertainment's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting flutter stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.78 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.63 | |||
| Variance | 6.93 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Flutter Entertainment
The number of cover stories for Flutter Entertainment depends on current market conditions and Flutter Entertainment's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Flutter Entertainment is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Flutter Entertainment's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Flutter Entertainment Short Properties
Flutter Entertainment's future price predictability will typically decrease when Flutter Entertainment's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Flutter Entertainment plc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Flutter Entertainment's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Flutter Entertainment's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 180 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.6 B |
Additional Tools for Flutter Stock Analysis
When running Flutter Entertainment's price analysis, check to measure Flutter Entertainment's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Flutter Entertainment is operating at the current time. Most of Flutter Entertainment's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Flutter Entertainment's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Flutter Entertainment's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Flutter Entertainment to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.