1 800 Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| FLWS Stock | USD 4.49 0.05 1.13% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of 1 800 FLOWERSCOM on the next trading day is expected to be 4.88 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.21 and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.68. FLWS Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the value of rsi of 1 800's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.031 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.84 | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.91) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.57) | Wall Street Target Price 6 |
Using 1 800 hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of 1 800 FLOWERSCOM from the perspective of 1 800 response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards 1 800 using 1 800's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards FLWS using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of 1 800's stock price.
1 800 Short Interest
An investor who is long 1 800 may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about 1 800 and may potentially protect profits, hedge 1 800 with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 4.8171 | Short Percent 0.4717 | Short Ratio 6.8 | Shares Short Prior Month 9.2 M | 50 Day MA 3.9086 |
1 800 FLOWERSCOM Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to 1 800's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in FLWS. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding FLWS can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around 1 800 FLOWERSCOM. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
1 800 Implied Volatility | 1.58 |
1 800's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of 1 800 FLOWERSCOM stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if 1 800's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that 1 800 stock will not fluctuate a lot when 1 800's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of 1 800 FLOWERSCOM on the next trading day is expected to be 4.88 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.21 and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.68. 1 800 after-hype prediction price | USD 4.49 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of 1 800 to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current FLWS contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that 1 800 FLOWERSCOM will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0988% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With 1 800 trading at USD 4.49, that is roughly USD 0.004434 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating 1 800's daily price movement you should consider acquiring 1 800 FLOWERSCOM options at the current volatility level of 1.58%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 FLWS Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast 1 800's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in 1 800's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for 1 800 stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current 1 800's open interest, investors have to compare it to 1 800's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of 1 800 is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in FLWS. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
1 800 Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine FLWS price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for FLWS using various technical indicators. When you analyze FLWS charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the 1 800's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 1999-06-30 | Previous Quarter 46.5 M | Current Value 7.7 M | Quarterly Volatility 82 M |
1 800 Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 26th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of 1 800 FLOWERSCOM on the next trading day is expected to be 4.88 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.21, mean absolute percentage error of 0.08, and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.68.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict FLWS Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that 1 800's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
1 800 Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest 1 800 | 1 800 Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
1 800 Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting 1 800's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. 1 800's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.04 and 10.76, respectively. We have considered 1 800's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of 1 800 stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent 1 800 stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.5611 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2079 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0518 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 12.6792 |
Predictive Modules for 1 800
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as 1 800 FLOWERSCOM. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of 1 800's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
1 800 After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of 1 800 at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in 1 800 or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of 1 800, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
1 800 Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting 1 800's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on 1 800's historical news coverage. 1 800's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.22 and 10.42, respectively. We have considered 1 800's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
1 800 is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of 1 800 FLOWERSCOM is based on 3 months time horizon.
1 800 Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as 1 800 is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading 1 800 backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with 1 800, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.39 | 5.88 | 0.17 | 0.04 | 7 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
4.49 | 4.49 | 0.00 |
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1 800 Hype Timeline
1 800 FLOWERSCOM is currently traded for 4.49. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.17, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.04. FLWS is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.39%. %. The volatility of related hype on 1 800 is about 6533.33%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4.45. About 44.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.3. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. 1 800 FLOWERSCOM has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.83. The entity recorded a loss per share of 3.47. The firm had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of 1 800 to cross-verify your projections.1 800 Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to 1 800's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict 1 800's future price movements. Getting to know how 1 800's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how 1 800 may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CHPT | ChargePoint Holdings | (0.01) | 22 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 5.83 | (6.84) | 31.33 | |
| BARK | BARK Inc | (0.01) | 11 per month | 3.05 | 0.02 | 10.61 | (5.71) | 29.00 | |
| LANV | Lanvin Group Holdings | (0.03) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 8.54 | (8.10) | 21.80 | |
| LOGC | Contextlogic | (0.07) | 27 per month | 1.49 | (0.02) | 4.12 | (2.80) | 9.27 | |
| BZUN | Baozun Inc | (0.17) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 4.10 | (4.64) | 11.42 | |
| BNED | Barnes Noble Education | (0.15) | 8 per month | 3.10 | (0.0003) | 4.69 | (5.18) | 42.63 | |
| XPOF | Xponential Fitness | 0.16 | 7 per month | 2.71 | 0.06 | 5.26 | (4.45) | 25.15 | |
| TWNP | Twin Hospitality Group | (0.14) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.37) | 7.46 | (13.69) | 46.89 | |
| SEV | Aptera Motors Corp | (0.42) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 11.30 | (18.36) | 83.63 | |
| RCKY | Rocky Brands | (0.06) | 7 per month | 1.12 | 0.11 | 3.51 | (2.65) | 9.05 |
Other Forecasting Options for 1 800
For every potential investor in FLWS, whether a beginner or expert, 1 800's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. FLWS Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in FLWS. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying 1 800's price trends.1 800 Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with 1 800 stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of 1 800 could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing 1 800 by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
1 800 Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how 1 800 stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading 1 800 shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying 1 800 stock market strength indicators, traders can identify 1 800 FLOWERSCOM entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
1 800 Risk Indicators
The analysis of 1 800's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in 1 800's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting flws stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 4.34 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 6.04 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 6.79 | |||
| Variance | 46.07 | |||
| Downside Variance | 39.1 | |||
| Semi Variance | 36.45 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (4.54) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for 1 800
The number of cover stories for 1 800 depends on current market conditions and 1 800's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that 1 800 is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about 1 800's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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1 800 Short Properties
1 800's future price predictability will typically decrease when 1 800's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of 1 800 FLOWERSCOM often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential 1 800's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. 1 800's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 63.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 46.5 M |
Additional Tools for FLWS Stock Analysis
When running 1 800's price analysis, check to measure 1 800's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy 1 800 is operating at the current time. Most of 1 800's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of 1 800's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move 1 800's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of 1 800 to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.