Lanvin Group Holdings Stock Price Prediction

LANV Stock   1.53  0.06  3.77%   
At this time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Lanvin Group's share price is approaching 45. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Lanvin Group, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

45

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Lanvin Group's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Lanvin Group and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Lanvin Group's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Lanvin Group Holdings, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Lanvin Group's stock price prediction:
EPS Estimate Current Year
(0.94)
EPS Estimate Next Year
(0.80)
Wall Street Target Price
1.656
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.20)
Using Lanvin Group hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Lanvin Group Holdings from the perspective of Lanvin Group response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Lanvin Group to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Lanvin because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Lanvin Group after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 1.57  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Lanvin Group Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.122.408.29
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.031.617.49
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
4.595.045.59
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.34-0.34-0.34
Details

Lanvin Group After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Lanvin Group at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Lanvin Group or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Lanvin Group, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Lanvin Group Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Lanvin Group's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Lanvin Group's historical news coverage. Lanvin Group's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.08 and 7.46, respectively. We have considered Lanvin Group's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
1.53
1.57
After-hype Price
7.46
Upside
Lanvin Group is dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Lanvin Group Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.

Lanvin Group Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Lanvin Group is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Lanvin Group backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Lanvin Group, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.13 
5.89
  0.02 
  0.06 
10 Events / Month
8 Events / Month
In about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
1.53
1.57
1.26 
4,908  
Notes

Lanvin Group Hype Timeline

Lanvin Group Holdings is now traded for 1.53. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.06. Lanvin is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 1.57. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -1.26%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.13%. The volatility of related hype on Lanvin Group is about 1341.69%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.59. About 69.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.62. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Lanvin Group Holdings recorded a loss per share of 1.05. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 10 days.
Check out Lanvin Group Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Lanvin Group Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Lanvin Group's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Lanvin Group's future price movements. Getting to know how Lanvin Group's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Lanvin Group may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
FOSLFossil Group 0.07 10 per month 3.81 (0.01) 8.55 (6.31) 19.38 
SIGSignet Jewelers 0.95 8 per month 2.02  0.11  4.34 (3.42) 19.25 
TPRTapestry 1.60 9 per month 0.99  0.16  3.64 (2.00) 16.39 
CPRICapri Holdings 0.42 8 per month 0.00 (0.08) 7.01 (4.25) 56.42 
MOVMovado Group 0.73 12 per month 0.00 (0.15) 4.03 (3.21) 18.47 
ELAEnvela Corp(0.01)10 per month 1.33  0.15  3.53 (2.86) 9.11 
BRLTBrilliant Earth Group 0.12 10 per month 0.00 (0.09) 7.69 (5.85) 17.39 
MYTEMYT Netherlands Parent 0.85 6 per month 2.64  0.15  11.11 (5.59) 67.36 
BGIBirks Group(0.31)4 per month 0.00 (0.25) 2.34 (4.30) 17.33 
CTHRCharles Colvard(0.03)6 per month 0.00 (0.07) 7.85 (6.77) 23.29 

Lanvin Group Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Lanvin price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Lanvin using various technical indicators. When you analyze Lanvin charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Lanvin Group Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Lanvin Group stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Lanvin Group Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Lanvin Group based on analysis of Lanvin Group hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Lanvin Group's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Lanvin Group's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Days Sales Outstanding47.0242.2439.132.95
PTB Ratio1.742.932.072.62

Story Coverage note for Lanvin Group

The number of cover stories for Lanvin Group depends on current market conditions and Lanvin Group's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Lanvin Group is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Lanvin Group's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Lanvin Group Short Properties

Lanvin Group's future price predictability will typically decrease when Lanvin Group's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Lanvin Group Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Lanvin Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lanvin Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding131.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments28.1 M

Additional Tools for Lanvin Stock Analysis

When running Lanvin Group's price analysis, check to measure Lanvin Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lanvin Group is operating at the current time. Most of Lanvin Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lanvin Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lanvin Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lanvin Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.