Franklin Small-mid Mutual Fund Forecast - Polynomial Regression

Franklin Small-mid polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Franklin Small Mid Cap as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Franklin Small-mid Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 1st of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Franklin Small Mid Cap on the next trading day is expected to be 52.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.47, mean absolute percentage error of 0.36, and the sum of the absolute errors of 28.75.

Franklin Small-mid Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

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Franklin Small-mid Forecasted Value

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Franklin Small-mid mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Franklin Small-mid mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Franklin Small-mid historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a₀ + a₁*X + a₂*X² + a₃*X³ + ... + a_m*X^m

Predictive Modules for Franklin Small-mid

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Franklin Small Mid. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 50.39 51.23 52.07 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 46.11 54.49 55.33 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Low Middle High 48.78 50.58 52.37 Details

Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Franklin Small-mid. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Franklin Small-mid's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Franklin Small-mid's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Franklin Small Mid.

Other Forecasting Options for Franklin Small-mid

For every potential investor in Franklin, whether a beginner or expert, Franklin Small-mid's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Franklin Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Franklin. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Franklin Small-mid's price trends.

Franklin Small-mid Related Equities

Risk & Return

Correlation

Franklin Small Mid Technical and Predictive Analytics

The mutual fund market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Franklin Small-mid's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Franklin Small-mid's current price.

Franklin Small-mid Market Strength Events

Franklin Small-mid Risk Indicators

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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

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