FingerMotion Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| FNGR Stock | USD 1.22 0.04 3.39% |
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of FingerMotion on the next trading day is expected to be 1.20 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.04. FingerMotion Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
As of today, the value of RSI of FingerMotion's share price is approaching 44. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling FingerMotion, making its price go up or down. Momentum 44
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using FingerMotion hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of FingerMotion from the perspective of FingerMotion response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of FingerMotion on the next trading day is expected to be 1.20 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.04. FingerMotion after-hype prediction price | USD 1.22 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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FingerMotion Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine FingerMotion price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for FingerMotion using various technical indicators. When you analyze FingerMotion charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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FingerMotion Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 23rd of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of FingerMotion on the next trading day is expected to be 1.20 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.04.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict FingerMotion Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that FingerMotion's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
FingerMotion Stock Forecast Pattern
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FingerMotion Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting FingerMotion's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. FingerMotion's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 6.19, respectively. We have considered FingerMotion's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of FingerMotion stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent FingerMotion stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 109.0223 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0082 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0516 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0377 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 3.045 |
Predictive Modules for FingerMotion
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FingerMotion. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.FingerMotion After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of FingerMotion at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in FingerMotion or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of FingerMotion, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
FingerMotion Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting FingerMotion's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on FingerMotion's historical news coverage. FingerMotion's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.06 and 6.21, respectively. We have considered FingerMotion's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
FingerMotion is extremely dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of FingerMotion is based on 3 months time horizon.
FingerMotion Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as FingerMotion is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading FingerMotion backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with FingerMotion, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.27 | 4.99 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
1.22 | 1.22 | 0.00 |
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FingerMotion Hype Timeline
FingerMotion is currently traded for 1.22. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. FingerMotion is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.27%. %. The volatility of related hype on FingerMotion is about 249500.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.22. About 25.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of FingerMotion was currently reported as 0.27. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.09. FingerMotion last dividend was issued on the 23rd of June 2017. The entity had 1:4 split on the 1st of August 2017. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of FingerMotion to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in FingerMotion Stock, please use our How to Invest in FingerMotion guide.FingerMotion Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to FingerMotion's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict FingerMotion's future price movements. Getting to know how FingerMotion's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how FingerMotion may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| IZEA | IZEA Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 4.58 | (4.35) | 11.34 | |
| KORE | KORE Group Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.65 | 0.14 | 7.38 | (4.29) | 18.82 | |
| CCG | Cheche Group Class | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 4.26 | (4.08) | 9.56 | |
| ILLR | Triller Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 16.67 | (40.32) | 109.86 | |
| MCHX | Marchex | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 2.60 | (3.51) | 13.32 | |
| TZOO | Travelzoo | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.28) | 3.95 | (3.62) | 17.23 | |
| TDI | Touchstone Dynamic International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.57 | 0.09 | 1.41 | (1.27) | 3.45 | |
| SEAT | Vivid Seats | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.24) | 6.34 | (10.82) | 22.35 | |
| CDLX | Cardlytics | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 10.71 | (9.43) | 30.51 | |
| NAMI | Jinxin Technology Holding | (0.02) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 14.63 | (9.76) | 57.29 |
Other Forecasting Options for FingerMotion
For every potential investor in FingerMotion, whether a beginner or expert, FingerMotion's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. FingerMotion Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in FingerMotion. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying FingerMotion's price trends.FingerMotion Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with FingerMotion stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of FingerMotion could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing FingerMotion by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
FingerMotion Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how FingerMotion stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading FingerMotion shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying FingerMotion stock market strength indicators, traders can identify FingerMotion entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
FingerMotion Risk Indicators
The analysis of FingerMotion's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in FingerMotion's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting fingermotion stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.61 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.99 | |||
| Variance | 24.92 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for FingerMotion
The number of cover stories for FingerMotion depends on current market conditions and FingerMotion's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that FingerMotion is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about FingerMotion's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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FingerMotion Short Properties
FingerMotion's future price predictability will typically decrease when FingerMotion's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of FingerMotion often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential FingerMotion's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. FingerMotion's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 53.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 7.8 M |
Additional Tools for FingerMotion Stock Analysis
When running FingerMotion's price analysis, check to measure FingerMotion's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy FingerMotion is operating at the current time. Most of FingerMotion's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of FingerMotion's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move FingerMotion's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of FingerMotion to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.