FormFactor Stock Forward View - 8 Period Moving Average

FORM Stock  USD 147.87  3.19  2.20%   
This 8 Period Moving Average projection for FormFactor is fitted to the equity's recent daily closes. Low error metrics relative to the price level indicate the model fits recent trading behavior well. Older observations carry less weight in the current projection as the price series extends. High SAE relative to the price level signals cumulative forecast drift over the evaluation period. The 8 Period Moving Average model projects FormFactor at 142.78 for the next trading day, below the most recent closing price. This forecast is one analytical input among many and should be assessed in the context of broader analysis.
The eight-period moving average forecast for FormFactor replaces each daily closing price with the mean of that value and the eight preceding observations. This wider window produces a smoother series that filters out short-term volatility.

8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 11th of May 2026

Over a 90-day horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average model forecasts FormFactor at 142.78 for the next trading day, with a mean absolute deviation of 7.66 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.06 , and sum of absolute errors of 406.13 .
This indicates moderate forecast accuracy — the model captures the general trend but not all short-term variation in FormFactor's price. This output is intended for short-term analytical reference.

Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest FormFactor  FormFactor Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Forecasted Value

The next-day forecast range for FormFactor defines statistically derived downside and upside boundaries based on model performance. Downside is estimated near 138.72 and upside near 146.84. The moderate spread reflects defined uncertainty around the forecast.
Market Value
147.87
138.72
142.78
Expected Value
146.84

Model Predictive Factors

The table below summarizes the 8 Period Moving Average model's error metrics for FormFactor stock. Lower MAD and MAPE values indicate tighter forecast accuracy. AIC measures relative model quality — lower values indicate less information loss and a better-fitting model. A large Bias suggests systematic over- or under-prediction.
AICAkaike Information Criteria107.9011
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -4.1681
MADMean absolute deviation7.6629
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0643
SAESum of the absolute errors406.1337
The eight-period window effectively dampens daily peaks and troughs in FormFactor price data, making the underlying trend more visible. However, the model can only be used reliably for one or two periods ahead. A flat forecast line in a trending market indicates the smoothing window is too wide for the current price dynamics.

Other Forecasting Options for FormFactor

Fibonacci retracement levels applied to FormFactor Stock price swings identify potential support and resistance zones. Extreme price moves in FormFactor occur more frequently than standard risk models assume. Support and resistance levels derived from FormFactor's historical data identify zones where buying or selling pressure has stalled moves. A volume spike without a corresponding price move signals accumulation or distribution ahead of a directional breakout.

FormFactor Related Equities

These stocks within the Information Technology space are often compared to FormFactor by analysts and fund managers in the sector. Return on equity across these peers shows how well each firm turns capital into profit. Identifying peers that steadily beat or lag FormFactor across many periods highlights durable competitive gaps. These checks provide a starting point for deeper study of FormFactor's strengths and weak spots.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

FormFactor Market Strength Events

Rate of Change and Momentum readings for FormFactor measure the velocity of recent price moves rather than direction alone. These indicators add context to how recent sessions in FormFactor have behaved. These indicators are most informative when viewed alongside FormFactor's volume profile and volatility measures. The Price Action Indicator distills each session's open-high-low-close into a single directional score for FormFactor.

FormFactor Risk Indicators

Standard deviation and variance for FormFactor measure total price dispersion, while semi-deviation isolates only the downside moves. Higher variance relative to sector peers signals that FormFactor's price path has been less predictable over the measured period. Analyzing FormFactor's risk indicators helps explain how recent moves compare with its broader trading range. A narrow gap between mean deviation and standard deviation indicates that FormFactor's return distribution is relatively symmetric.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

FormFactor Short Properties

Short sentiment tied to FormFactor matters because heavier bearish pressure can change how quickly future price expectations become unstable. A disciplined short-interest review can make timing decisions more informed under rising skepticism.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding78.31 million
Cash And Short Term Investments276.24 million