FormFactor Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| FORM Stock | USD 70.49 2.84 3.87% |
FormFactor Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although FormFactor's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of FormFactor's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of FormFactor fundamentals over time.
As of now, The relative strength index (RSI) of FormFactor's share price is at 56. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling FormFactor, making its price go up or down. Momentum 56
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.17) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.2925 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.18 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.5878 | Wall Street Target Price 67.875 |
Using FormFactor hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of FormFactor from the perspective of FormFactor response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards FormFactor using FormFactor's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards FormFactor using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of FormFactor's stock price.
FormFactor Short Interest
An investor who is long FormFactor may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about FormFactor and may potentially protect profits, hedge FormFactor with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 41.6929 | Short Percent 0.0568 | Short Ratio 2.66 | Shares Short Prior Month 3.3 M | 50 Day MA 61.9598 |
FormFactor Relative Strength Index
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of FormFactor on the next trading day is expected to be 70.49 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.50 and the sum of the absolute errors of 89.73.FormFactor Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to FormFactor's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in FormFactor. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding FormFactor can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around FormFactor. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of FormFactor's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about FormFactor.
FormFactor Implied Volatility | 0.77 |
FormFactor's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of FormFactor stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if FormFactor's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that FormFactor stock will not fluctuate a lot when FormFactor's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of FormFactor on the next trading day is expected to be 70.49 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.50 and the sum of the absolute errors of 89.73. FormFactor after-hype prediction price | USD 70.49 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
FormFactor | Build AI portfolio with FormFactor Stock |
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current FormFactor contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that FormFactor will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0481% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With FormFactor trading at USD 70.49, that is roughly USD 0.0339 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating FormFactor's daily price movement you should consider acquiring FormFactor options at the current volatility level of 0.77%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 FormFactor Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast FormFactor's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in FormFactor's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for FormFactor stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current FormFactor's open interest, investors have to compare it to FormFactor's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of FormFactor is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in FormFactor. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
FormFactor Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine FormFactor price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for FormFactor using various technical indicators. When you analyze FormFactor charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
FormFactor Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 3rd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of FormFactor on the next trading day is expected to be 70.49 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.50, mean absolute percentage error of 4.19, and the sum of the absolute errors of 89.73.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict FormFactor Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that FormFactor's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
FormFactor Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest FormFactor | FormFactor Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
FormFactor Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting FormFactor's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. FormFactor's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 67.38 and 73.60, respectively. We have considered FormFactor's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of FormFactor stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent FormFactor stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.7049 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.3128 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.4955 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0241 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 89.73 |
Predictive Modules for FormFactor
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FormFactor. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.FormFactor After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of FormFactor at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in FormFactor or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of FormFactor, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
FormFactor Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting FormFactor's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on FormFactor's historical news coverage. FormFactor's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 67.21 and 73.77, respectively. We have considered FormFactor's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
FormFactor is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of FormFactor is based on 3 months time horizon.
FormFactor Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as FormFactor is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading FormFactor backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with FormFactor, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.56 | 3.11 | 0.47 | 0.09 | 7 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
70.49 | 70.49 | 0.00 |
|
FormFactor Hype Timeline
FormFactor is currently traded for 70.49. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.47, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.09. FormFactor is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.56%. %. The volatility of related hype on FormFactor is about 1968.35%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 70.58. About 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.71. FormFactor had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of FormFactor to cross-verify your projections.FormFactor Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to FormFactor's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict FormFactor's future price movements. Getting to know how FormFactor's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how FormFactor may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SLAB | Silicon Laboratories | 10.38 | 11 per month | 2.03 | 0.03 | 4.49 | (3.26) | 11.70 | |
| AMBA | Ambarella | 0.15 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 5.30 | (4.88) | 24.30 | |
| IPGP | IPG Photonics | 0.17 | 11 per month | 2.39 | 0.03 | 3.62 | (4.00) | 12.41 | |
| SIMO | Silicon Motion Technology | 2.20 | 11 per month | 2.64 | 0.07 | 4.25 | (5.47) | 23.47 | |
| VICR | Vicor | (3.36) | 10 per month | 2.93 | 0.24 | 6.34 | (6.12) | 22.45 | |
| SMTC | Semtech | 0.15 | 11 per month | 2.99 | 0.06 | 5.78 | (5.16) | 18.27 | |
| PSFE | Paysafe | 0.05 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 4.29 | (5.16) | 31.29 | |
| SAIC | Science Applications International | 2.71 | 9 per month | 1.54 | 0.05 | 3.42 | (2.45) | 21.53 | |
| CAMT | Camtek | (12.08) | 12 per month | 3.02 | 0.09 | 7.61 | (5.85) | 15.59 | |
| DLO | Dlocal | 1.21 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 3.11 | (4.02) | 11.21 |
Other Forecasting Options for FormFactor
For every potential investor in FormFactor, whether a beginner or expert, FormFactor's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. FormFactor Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in FormFactor. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying FormFactor's price trends.FormFactor Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with FormFactor stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of FormFactor could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing FormFactor by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
FormFactor Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how FormFactor stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading FormFactor shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying FormFactor stock market strength indicators, traders can identify FormFactor entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
FormFactor Risk Indicators
The analysis of FormFactor's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in FormFactor's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting formfactor stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.11 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.08 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.69 | |||
| Variance | 22.01 | |||
| Downside Variance | 12.09 | |||
| Semi Variance | 9.47 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.69) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for FormFactor
The number of cover stories for FormFactor depends on current market conditions and FormFactor's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that FormFactor is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about FormFactor's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
FormFactor Short Properties
FormFactor's future price predictability will typically decrease when FormFactor's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of FormFactor often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential FormFactor's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. FormFactor's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 78.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 360 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of FormFactor to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in FormFactor Stock, please use our How to Invest in FormFactor guide.You can also try the Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.
Will Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment sector continue expanding? Could FormFactor diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of FormFactor. Market participants price FormFactor higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every FormFactor data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.17) | Earnings Share 0.53 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.03) | Return On Assets |
Understanding FormFactor requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects FormFactor's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what FormFactor's is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push FormFactor's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between FormFactor's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if FormFactor is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, FormFactor's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.