Fox Corp Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| FOX Stock | USD 65.53 0.50 0.77% |
Fox Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
The value of RSI of Fox Corp's stock price is slightly above 61. This usually indicates that the stock is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Fox, making its price go up or down. Momentum 61
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Fox Corp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Fox Corp Class from the perspective of Fox Corp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Fox Corp Class on the next trading day is expected to be 65.58 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.62 and the sum of the absolute errors of 37.61. Fox Corp after-hype prediction price | USD 0.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Fox Corp to cross-verify your projections. Fox Corp Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Fox price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Fox using various technical indicators. When you analyze Fox charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Fox Corp Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 26th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Fox Corp Class on the next trading day is expected to be 65.58 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.62, mean absolute percentage error of 0.58, and the sum of the absolute errors of 37.61.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Fox Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Fox Corp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Fox Corp Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Fox Corp | Fox Corp Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Fox Corp Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Fox Corp's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Fox Corp's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 64.15 and 67.01, respectively. We have considered Fox Corp's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Fox Corp stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Fox Corp stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.5604 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.6165 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.01 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 37.6061 |
Predictive Modules for Fox Corp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fox Corp Class. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Fox Corp After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Fox Corp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Fox Corp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Fox Corp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Fox Corp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Fox Corp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Fox Corp's historical news coverage. Fox Corp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 1.43, respectively. We have considered Fox Corp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Fox Corp is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Fox Corp Class is based on 3 months time horizon.
Fox Corp Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Fox Corp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Fox Corp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Fox Corp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.30 | 1.43 | 0.00 | 0.09 | 0 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
65.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
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Fox Corp Hype Timeline
On the 25th of January Fox Corp Class is traded for 65.53. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.09. Fox is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.3%. %. The volatility of related hype on Fox Corp is about 495.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 65.44. About 37.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of Fox Corp was currently reported as 27.45. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.08. Fox Corp Class last dividend was issued on the 3rd of September 2025. The entity had 1:1 split on the 2nd of July 2013. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next estimated press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Fox Corp to cross-verify your projections.Fox Corp Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Fox Corp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Fox Corp's future price movements. Getting to know how Fox Corp's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Fox Corp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PINS | 0.51 | 23 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.80 | (3.31) | 25.49 | ||
| CHTR | Charter Communications | (6.84) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 2.56 | (4.25) | 8.51 | |
| TEF | Telefonica SA ADR | (0.01) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 2.81 | (2.80) | 15.46 | |
| VOD | Vodafone Group PLC | 0.01 | 9 per month | 1.43 | 0.15 | 2.83 | (2.73) | 11.03 | |
| LLYVK | Liberty Live Holdings | 0.01 | 13 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.42 | (2.93) | 10.25 | |
| NBIS | Nebius Group NV | (0.32) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 9.60 | (7.91) | 23.24 | |
| TLK | Telkom Indonesia Tbk | 0.08 | 6 per month | 1.27 | 0.13 | 4.68 | (2.49) | 11.70 | |
| LYV | Live Nation Entertainment | 3.45 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 2.70 | (2.61) | 11.61 | |
| RCI | Rogers Communications | 0.51 | 14 per month | 1.09 | (0.04) | 1.81 | (1.85) | 5.62 |
Other Forecasting Options for Fox Corp
For every potential investor in Fox, whether a beginner or expert, Fox Corp's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Fox Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Fox. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Fox Corp's price trends.Fox Corp Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Fox Corp stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Fox Corp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Fox Corp by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Fox Corp Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Fox Corp stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Fox Corp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Fox Corp stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Fox Corp Class entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Fox Corp Risk Indicators
The analysis of Fox Corp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Fox Corp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting fox stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.8906 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.673 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.43 | |||
| Variance | 2.04 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.0 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.4529 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.07) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Fox Corp
The number of cover stories for Fox Corp depends on current market conditions and Fox Corp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Fox Corp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Fox Corp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Fox Corp Short Properties
Fox Corp's future price predictability will typically decrease when Fox Corp's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Fox Corp Class often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Fox Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fox Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 461 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 5.4 B |
Additional Tools for Fox Stock Analysis
When running Fox Corp's price analysis, check to measure Fox Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Fox Corp is operating at the current time. Most of Fox Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Fox Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Fox Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Fox Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.