NextEra Energy Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

FP3 Stock  EUR 75.01  0.02  0.03%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of NextEra Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 75.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 60.39. NextEra Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of NextEra Energy's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A two period moving average forecast for NextEra Energy is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

NextEra Energy Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 30th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of NextEra Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 75.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.01, mean absolute percentage error of 1.73, and the sum of the absolute errors of 60.39.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict NextEra Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that NextEra Energy's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

NextEra Energy Stock Forecast Pattern

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NextEra Energy Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting NextEra Energy's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. NextEra Energy's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 73.44 and 76.58, respectively. We have considered NextEra Energy's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
75.01
75.01
Expected Value
76.58
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of NextEra Energy stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent NextEra Energy stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.8216
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0728
MADMean absolute deviation1.0065
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0137
SAESum of the absolute errors60.39
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of NextEra Energy price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of NextEra Energy. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for NextEra Energy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NextEra Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
73.4575.0176.57
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
60.6162.1782.51
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
68.3371.8775.41
Details

Other Forecasting Options for NextEra Energy

For every potential investor in NextEra, whether a beginner or expert, NextEra Energy's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. NextEra Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in NextEra. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying NextEra Energy's price trends.

NextEra Energy Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with NextEra Energy stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of NextEra Energy could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing NextEra Energy by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

NextEra Energy Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of NextEra Energy's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of NextEra Energy's current price.

NextEra Energy Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how NextEra Energy stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading NextEra Energy shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying NextEra Energy stock market strength indicators, traders can identify NextEra Energy entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

NextEra Energy Risk Indicators

The analysis of NextEra Energy's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in NextEra Energy's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting nextera stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in NextEra Stock

When determining whether NextEra Energy is a strong investment it is important to analyze NextEra Energy's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact NextEra Energy's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding NextEra Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of NextEra Energy to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in NextEra Stock please use our How to Invest in NextEra Energy guide.
You can also try the Latest Portfolios module to quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios.
Please note, there is a significant difference between NextEra Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if NextEra Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, NextEra Energy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.