Freedom 100 Etf Forecast - Simple Regression
| FRDM Etf | USD 59.33 1.44 2.49% |
Freedom Etf outlook is based on your current time horizon.
The relative strength momentum indicator of Freedom 100's share price is above 70 as of now. This usually indicates that the etf is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Freedom, making its price go up or down. Momentum 78
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Freedom 100 hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Freedom 100 Emerging from the perspective of Freedom 100 response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Freedom 100 using Freedom 100's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Freedom using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Freedom 100's stock price.
Freedom 100 Implied Volatility | 0.36 |
Freedom 100's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Freedom 100 Emerging stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Freedom 100's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Freedom 100 stock will not fluctuate a lot when Freedom 100's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Freedom 100 Emerging on the next trading day is expected to be 55.78 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.38 and the sum of the absolute errors of 84.41. Freedom 100 after-hype prediction price | USD 59.34 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Freedom 100 to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Freedom contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Freedom 100 Emerging will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0225% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Freedom 100 trading at USD 59.33, that is roughly USD 0.0133 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Freedom 100's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Freedom 100 Emerging options at the current volatility level of 0.36%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Freedom Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Freedom 100's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Freedom 100's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Freedom 100 stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Freedom 100's open interest, investors have to compare it to Freedom 100's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Freedom 100 is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Freedom. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Freedom 100 Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Freedom price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Freedom using various technical indicators. When you analyze Freedom charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Freedom 100 Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 28th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Freedom 100 Emerging on the next trading day is expected to be 55.78 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.38, mean absolute percentage error of 2.51, and the sum of the absolute errors of 84.41.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Freedom Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Freedom 100's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Freedom 100 Etf Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Freedom 100 | Freedom 100 Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Freedom 100 Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Freedom 100's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Freedom 100's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 54.66 and 56.89, respectively. We have considered Freedom 100's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Freedom 100 etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Freedom 100 etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 119.0293 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.3837 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0276 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 84.4073 |
Predictive Modules for Freedom 100
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Freedom 100 Emerging. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Freedom 100's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Freedom 100 After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Freedom 100 at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Freedom 100 or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of Freedom 100, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Freedom 100 Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Freedom 100's etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Freedom 100's historical news coverage. Freedom 100's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 58.23 and 60.45, respectively. We have considered Freedom 100's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Freedom 100 is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Freedom 100 Emerging is based on 3 months time horizon.
Freedom 100 Etf Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as Freedom 100 is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Freedom 100 backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Freedom 100, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.35 | 1.11 | 0.01 | 0.10 | 3 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 3 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
59.33 | 59.34 | 0.02 |
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Freedom 100 Hype Timeline
Freedom 100 Emerging is currently traded for 59.33. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.1. Freedom is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 59.34 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is anticipated to be 0.02%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.35%. The volatility of related hype on Freedom 100 is about 376.27%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 59.43. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 3 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Freedom 100 to cross-verify your projections.Freedom 100 Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Freedom 100's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Freedom 100's future price movements. Getting to know how Freedom 100's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Freedom 100 may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| DGS | WisdomTree Emerging Markets | 0.07 | 3 per month | 0.42 | 0.11 | 0.97 | (1.02) | 2.33 | |
| DTD | WisdomTree Total Dividend | 0.49 | 2 per month | 0.45 | (0.02) | 0.92 | (0.83) | 2.79 | |
| EEMA | iShares MSCI Emerging | 0.02 | 2 per month | 0.62 | 0.05 | 1.40 | (1.17) | 4.08 | |
| KBE | SPDR SP Bank | 0.57 | 5 per month | 0.95 | 0.06 | 2.74 | (1.47) | 5.18 | |
| ICOW | Pacer Developed Markets | (0.04) | 2 per month | 0.57 | 0.13 | 1.24 | (1.02) | 3.19 | |
| EWP | iShares MSCI Spain | 0.20 | 5 per month | 0.62 | 0.11 | 1.46 | (1.42) | 3.29 | |
| GEM | Goldman Sachs ActiveBeta | (0.13) | 9 per month | 0.53 | 0.09 | 1.35 | (1.08) | 3.27 | |
| RWJ | Invesco SP SmallCap | (0.14) | 4 per month | 0.90 | 0.05 | 2.07 | (1.75) | 5.47 | |
| PKW | Invesco BuyBack Achievers | 1.88 | 3 per month | 0.76 | (0.04) | 1.30 | (1.39) | 3.33 | |
| GLOV | Goldman Sachs ActiveBeta | 0.03 | 3 per month | 0.42 | (0.07) | 0.75 | (0.64) | 2.51 |
Other Forecasting Options for Freedom 100
For every potential investor in Freedom, whether a beginner or expert, Freedom 100's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Freedom Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Freedom. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Freedom 100's price trends.Freedom 100 Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Freedom 100 etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Freedom 100 could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Freedom 100 by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Freedom 100 Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Freedom 100 etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Freedom 100 shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Freedom 100 etf market strength indicators, traders can identify Freedom 100 Emerging entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Freedom 100 Risk Indicators
The analysis of Freedom 100's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Freedom 100's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting freedom etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.7814 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.8239 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.05 | |||
| Variance | 1.1 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.5 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.6789 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.87) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Freedom 100
The number of cover stories for Freedom 100 depends on current market conditions and Freedom 100's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Freedom 100 is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Freedom 100's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Freedom 100 to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Positions Ratings module to determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
The market value of Freedom 100 Emerging is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Freedom that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Freedom 100's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Freedom 100's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Freedom 100's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Freedom 100's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Freedom 100's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Freedom 100 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Freedom 100's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.