Freedom Holding Etf Forward View - Polynomial Regression
| FRHC Etf | USD 115.54 1.59 1.36% |
Freedom Etf outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Freedom Holding stock prices and determine the direction of Freedom Holding Corp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Freedom Holding's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength indicator of Freedom Holding's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the etf is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.67) | Wall Street Target Price 76 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.07) |
Using Freedom Holding hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Freedom Holding Corp from the perspective of Freedom Holding response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Freedom Holding using Freedom Holding's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Freedom using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Freedom Holding's stock price.
Freedom Holding Implied Volatility | 0.64 |
Freedom Holding's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Freedom Holding Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Freedom Holding's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Freedom Holding stock will not fluctuate a lot when Freedom Holding's options are near their expiration.
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Freedom Holding Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 116.17 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.14 and the sum of the absolute errors of 132.63. Freedom Holding after-hype prediction price | USD 115.45 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Freedom Holding to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Freedom contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Freedom Holding Corp will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.04% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Freedom Holding trading at USD 115.54, that is roughly USD 0.0462 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Freedom Holding's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Freedom Holding Corp options at the current volatility level of 0.64%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Freedom Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Freedom Holding's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Freedom Holding's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Freedom Holding stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Freedom Holding's open interest, investors have to compare it to Freedom Holding's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Freedom Holding is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Freedom. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Freedom Holding Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Freedom price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Freedom using various technical indicators. When you analyze Freedom charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Freedom Holding Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 7th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Freedom Holding Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 116.17 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.14, mean absolute percentage error of 7.97, and the sum of the absolute errors of 132.63.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Freedom Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Freedom Holding's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Freedom Holding Etf Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Freedom Holding | Freedom Holding Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Freedom Holding Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Freedom Holding's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Freedom Holding's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 114.26 and 118.08, respectively. We have considered Freedom Holding's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Freedom Holding etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Freedom Holding etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 122.0238 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 2.1393 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0166 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 132.6342 |
Predictive Modules for Freedom Holding
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Freedom Holding Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Freedom Holding After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Freedom Holding at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Freedom Holding or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of Freedom Holding, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Freedom Holding Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Freedom Holding's etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Freedom Holding's historical news coverage. Freedom Holding's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 113.54 and 117.36, respectively. We have considered Freedom Holding's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Freedom Holding is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Freedom Holding Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Freedom Holding Etf Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as Freedom Holding is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Freedom Holding backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Freedom Holding, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.30 | 1.91 | 0.09 | 0.24 | 5 Events / Month | 9 Events / Month | In about 5 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
115.54 | 115.45 | 0.08 |
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Freedom Holding Hype Timeline
Freedom Holding Corp is currently traded for 115.54. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.09, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.24. Freedom is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 115.45. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.08%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.3%. The volatility of related hype on Freedom Holding is about 241.55%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 115.30. About 71.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company last dividend was issued on the 3rd of September 2002. Freedom Holding Corp had 1:25 split on the 6th of September 2017. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 5 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Freedom Holding to cross-verify your projections.Freedom Holding Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Freedom Holding's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Freedom Holding's future price movements. Getting to know how Freedom Holding's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Freedom Holding may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Other Forecasting Options for Freedom Holding
For every potential investor in Freedom, whether a beginner or expert, Freedom Holding's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Freedom Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Freedom. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Freedom Holding's price trends.Freedom Holding Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Freedom Holding etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Freedom Holding could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Freedom Holding by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Freedom Holding Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Freedom Holding etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Freedom Holding shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Freedom Holding etf market strength indicators, traders can identify Freedom Holding Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 4275.6 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.39) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 115.46 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 115.49 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.71) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (1.59) |
Freedom Holding Risk Indicators
The analysis of Freedom Holding's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Freedom Holding's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting freedom etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.68 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.1 | |||
| Variance | 4.42 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Freedom Holding
The number of cover stories for Freedom Holding depends on current market conditions and Freedom Holding's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Freedom Holding is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Freedom Holding's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Freedom Holding Short Properties
Freedom Holding's future price predictability will typically decrease when Freedom Holding's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Freedom Holding Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Freedom Holding's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Freedom Holding's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 60.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.6 B |
Other Information on Investing in Freedom Etf
Freedom Holding financial ratios help investors to determine whether Freedom Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Freedom with respect to the benefits of owning Freedom Holding security.