Houlihan Lokey Stock Price Prediction

HLI Stock  USD 188.66  1.71  0.91%   
The relative strength indicator of Houlihan Lokey's the stock price is under 68. This usually indicates that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of 22nd of November 2024. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Houlihan, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

68

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Houlihan Lokey's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Houlihan Lokey, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Houlihan Lokey's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.384
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
1.48
EPS Estimate Current Year
4.44
EPS Estimate Next Year
5.67
Wall Street Target Price
168.8572
Using Houlihan Lokey hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Houlihan Lokey from the perspective of Houlihan Lokey response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Houlihan Lokey to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Houlihan because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Houlihan Lokey after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 188.66  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Houlihan Lokey Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Houlihan Stock please use our How to Invest in Houlihan Lokey guide.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
153.89155.76207.53
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
185.03186.89188.76
Details
9 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
98.28108.00119.88
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.431.501.54
Details

Houlihan Lokey After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Houlihan Lokey at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Houlihan Lokey or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Houlihan Lokey, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Houlihan Lokey Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Houlihan Lokey's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Houlihan Lokey's historical news coverage. Houlihan Lokey's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 186.79 and 190.53, respectively. We have considered Houlihan Lokey's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
188.66
186.79
Downside
188.66
After-hype Price
190.53
Upside
Houlihan Lokey is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Houlihan Lokey is based on 3 months time horizon.

Houlihan Lokey Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Houlihan Lokey is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Houlihan Lokey backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Houlihan Lokey, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.33 
1.87
  2.83 
  0.25 
10 Events / Month
6 Events / Month
In about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
188.66
188.66
0.00 
21.82  
Notes

Houlihan Lokey Hype Timeline

On the 22nd of November Houlihan Lokey is traded for 188.66. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 2.83, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.25. Houlihan is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 21.82%. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.33%. %. The volatility of related hype on Houlihan Lokey is about 243.25%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 188.41. About 100.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company last dividend was issued on the 2nd of December 2024. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 10 days.
Check out Houlihan Lokey Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Houlihan Stock please use our How to Invest in Houlihan Lokey guide.

Houlihan Lokey Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Houlihan Lokey's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Houlihan Lokey's future price movements. Getting to know how Houlihan Lokey's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Houlihan Lokey may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
LAZLazard(1.64)11 per month 1.35  0.07  3.95 (2.71) 18.37 
PJTPJT Partners(0.29)11 per month 0.93  0.13  3.55 (2.04) 18.44 
MCMoelis Co(0.26)11 per month 1.45  0.06  3.44 (3.04) 22.37 
PIPRPiper Sandler Companies(0.26)7 per month 1.16  0.11  3.13 (2.70) 22.79 
PWPPerella Weinberg Partners 1.87 10 per month 1.75  0.12  3.77 (3.16) 22.05 
EVREvercore Partners(3.87)9 per month 1.57  0.12  3.06 (2.72) 19.27 
SFStifel Financial(0.24)9 per month 0.63  0.17  3.09 (1.97) 16.31 
OPYOppenheimer Holdings(1.46)6 per month 0.95  0.09  2.58 (2.06) 13.50 

Houlihan Lokey Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Houlihan price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Houlihan using various technical indicators. When you analyze Houlihan charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Houlihan Lokey Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Houlihan Lokey stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Houlihan Lokey, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Houlihan Lokey based on analysis of Houlihan Lokey hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Houlihan Lokey's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Houlihan Lokey's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.02010.02530.0180.0171
Price To Sales Ratio2.513.064.314.52

Story Coverage note for Houlihan Lokey

The number of cover stories for Houlihan Lokey depends on current market conditions and Houlihan Lokey's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Houlihan Lokey is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Houlihan Lokey's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Houlihan Lokey Short Properties

Houlihan Lokey's future price predictability will typically decrease when Houlihan Lokey's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Houlihan Lokey often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Houlihan Lokey's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Houlihan Lokey's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding68.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments728.8 M

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