Primis Financial Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| FRST Stock | USD 13.48 0.10 0.74% |
Primis Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Primis Financial's share price is at 56. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Primis Financial, making its price go up or down. Momentum 56
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 4.576 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.245 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.7 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.9 | Wall Street Target Price 15.625 |
Using Primis Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Primis Financial Corp from the perspective of Primis Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Primis Financial using Primis Financial's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Primis using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Primis Financial's stock price.
Primis Financial Short Interest
An investor who is long Primis Financial may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Primis Financial and may potentially protect profits, hedge Primis Financial with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 10.9327 | Short Percent 0.0134 | Short Ratio 3.76 | Shares Short Prior Month 245.2 K | 50 Day MA 12.6764 |
Primis Relative Strength Index
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Primis Financial Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 13.48 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.21 and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.43.Primis Financial Corp Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Primis Financial's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Primis. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Primis can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Primis Financial Corp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Primis Financial's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Primis Financial.
Primis Financial Implied Volatility | 2.16 |
Primis Financial's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Primis Financial Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Primis Financial's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Primis Financial stock will not fluctuate a lot when Primis Financial's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Primis Financial Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 13.48 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.21 and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.43. Primis Financial after-hype prediction price | USD 13.58 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Primis Financial to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Primis contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Primis Financial Corp will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.14% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Primis Financial trading at USD 13.48, that is roughly USD 0.0182 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Primis Financial's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Primis Financial Corp options at the current volatility level of 2.16%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Primis Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Primis Financial's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Primis Financial's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Primis Financial stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Primis Financial's open interest, investors have to compare it to Primis Financial's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Primis Financial is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Primis. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Primis Financial Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Primis price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Primis using various technical indicators. When you analyze Primis charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Primis Financial Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 1st of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Primis Financial Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 13.48 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.21, mean absolute percentage error of 0.07, and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.43.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Primis Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Primis Financial's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Primis Financial Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Primis Financial | Primis Financial Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Primis Financial Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Primis Financial's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Primis Financial's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 11.34 and 15.62, respectively. We have considered Primis Financial's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Primis Financial stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Primis Financial stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.6766 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0707 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2072 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0164 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 12.435 |
Predictive Modules for Primis Financial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Primis Financial Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Primis Financial's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Primis Financial After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Primis Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Primis Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Primis Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Primis Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Primis Financial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Primis Financial's historical news coverage. Primis Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 11.44 and 15.72, respectively. We have considered Primis Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Primis Financial is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Primis Financial Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Primis Financial Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Primis Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Primis Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Primis Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.41 | 2.14 | 0.10 | 0.06 | 9 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
13.48 | 13.58 | 0.74 |
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Primis Financial Hype Timeline
Primis Financial Corp is currently traded for 13.48. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.1, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.06. Primis is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 13.58 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price appreciation on the next news is projected to be 0.74%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.41%. The volatility of related hype on Primis Financial is about 1517.73%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 13.54. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 280.45 M. Net Loss for the year was (24.66 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 138.82 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Primis Financial to cross-verify your projections.Primis Financial Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Primis Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Primis Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how Primis Financial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Primis Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FINW | Finwise Bancorp | 0.14 | 9 per month | 1.30 | (0.02) | 2.79 | (2.19) | 7.91 | |
| CZFS | Citizens Financial Services | 0.65 | 8 per month | 1.77 | 0.06 | 4.15 | (2.86) | 10.38 | |
| MBCN | Middlefield Banc | 0.02 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 3.67 | (3.16) | 11.23 | |
| JMSB | John Marshall Bancorp | 0.07 | 8 per month | 1.78 | 0.03 | 3.37 | (2.77) | 15.99 | |
| ISBA | Isabella Bank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.32 | 0.15 | 7.12 | (4.19) | 20.02 | |
| NECB | Northeast Community Bancorp | 0.09 | 11 per month | 1.43 | 0.08 | 3.45 | (2.36) | 7.53 | |
| NWFL | Norwood Financial Corp | 0.77 | 9 per month | 0.98 | 0.08 | 2.67 | (2.00) | 6.55 | |
| TSBK | Timberland Bancorp | (0.32) | 6 per month | 1.05 | 0.14 | 3.45 | (1.95) | 8.74 | |
| LNKB | LINKBANCORP | 0.33 | 7 per month | 1.42 | 0.15 | 3.66 | (2.16) | 8.31 | |
| COSO | CoastalSouth Bancshares | (0.34) | 24 per month | 0.85 | 0.09 | 1.66 | (1.54) | 6.77 |
Other Forecasting Options for Primis Financial
For every potential investor in Primis, whether a beginner or expert, Primis Financial's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Primis Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Primis. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Primis Financial's price trends.Primis Financial Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Primis Financial stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Primis Financial could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Primis Financial by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Primis Financial Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Primis Financial stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Primis Financial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Primis Financial stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Primis Financial Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Primis Financial Risk Indicators
The analysis of Primis Financial's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Primis Financial's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting primis stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.61 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.52 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.11 | |||
| Variance | 4.47 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.39 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.31 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.89) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Primis Financial
The number of cover stories for Primis Financial depends on current market conditions and Primis Financial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Primis Financial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Primis Financial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Additional Tools for Primis Stock Analysis
When running Primis Financial's price analysis, check to measure Primis Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Primis Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Primis Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Primis Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Primis Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Primis Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.