Middlefield Banc Stock Price Prediction
| MBCN Stock | USD 35.11 0.88 2.45% |
Momentum 48
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.242 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.65 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.5833 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.6 | Wall Street Target Price 33.6667 |
Using Middlefield Banc hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Middlefield Banc from the perspective of Middlefield Banc response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Middlefield Banc to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Middlefield because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Middlefield Banc after-hype prediction price | USD 35.15 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Middlefield Banc's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Middlefield Banc After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Middlefield Banc at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Middlefield Banc or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Middlefield Banc, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Middlefield Banc Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Middlefield Banc's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Middlefield Banc's historical news coverage. Middlefield Banc's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 33.25 and 37.05, respectively. We have considered Middlefield Banc's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Middlefield Banc is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Middlefield Banc is based on 3 months time horizon.
Middlefield Banc Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Middlefield Banc is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Middlefield Banc backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Middlefield Banc, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.10 | 1.90 | 0.04 | 0.01 | 8 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
35.11 | 35.15 | 0.11 |
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Middlefield Banc Hype Timeline
Middlefield Banc is now traded for 35.11. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Middlefield is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 35.15 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 0.11%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.1%. The volatility of related hype on Middlefield Banc is about 1881.19%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 35.12. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 108.47 M. Net Income was 15.52 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 75.4 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Middlefield Banc Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Middlefield Banc Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Middlefield Banc's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Middlefield Banc's future price movements. Getting to know how Middlefield Banc's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Middlefield Banc may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| IFS | Intercorp Financial Services | (0.16) | 8 per month | 1.39 | 0.10 | 3.68 | (2.88) | 5.62 | |
| ABCB | Ameris Bancorp | (0.12) | 10 per month | 1.08 | 0.07 | 2.71 | (1.87) | 5.50 | |
| UBSI | United Bankshares | 0.21 | 15 per month | 1.01 | 0.11 | 3.05 | (1.94) | 8.03 | |
| AVAL | Grupo Aval | (0.01) | 9 per month | 1.47 | 0.14 | 2.79 | (2.90) | 7.37 | |
| OZK | Bank Ozk | (0.02) | 10 per month | 1.09 | (0) | 2.43 | (1.53) | 6.11 | |
| GBCI | Glacier Bancorp | (0.13) | 9 per month | 1.61 | 0.05 | 3.25 | (1.94) | 8.19 | |
| AX | Axos Financial | 1.27 | 12 per month | 1.45 | 0.10 | 3.18 | (2.60) | 6.63 | |
| HOMB | Home BancShares | (0.02) | 19 per month | 1.13 | (0) | 2.16 | (1.75) | 5.65 | |
| AUB | Atlantic Union Bankshares | (0.01) | 7 per month | 1.16 | 0.08 | 3.79 | (2.02) | 7.84 | |
| IBOC | International Bancshares | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.50 | (0.03) | 2.75 | (2.10) | 7.55 |
Middlefield Banc Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Middlefield price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Middlefield using various technical indicators. When you analyze Middlefield charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Middlefield Banc Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Middlefield Banc stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Middlefield Banc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Middlefield Banc based on analysis of Middlefield Banc hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Middlefield Banc's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Middlefield Banc's related companies. | 2023 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0262 | 0.0381 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.7 | 2.9 |
Pair Trading with Middlefield Banc
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Middlefield Banc position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Middlefield Banc will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Middlefield Stock
Moving against Middlefield Stock
| 0.61 | 601658 | Postal Savings Bank | PairCorr |
| 0.6 | 601665 | Qilu Bank | PairCorr |
| 0.51 | BETRW | Better Home Finance | PairCorr |
| 0.43 | CDIV | Cascadia Investments | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Middlefield Banc could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Middlefield Banc when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Middlefield Banc - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Middlefield Banc to buy it.
The correlation of Middlefield Banc is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Middlefield Banc moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Middlefield Banc moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Middlefield Banc can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Middlefield Banc Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Middlefield Stock, please use our How to Invest in Middlefield Banc guide.You can also try the Efficient Frontier module to plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market..
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Middlefield Banc. If investors know Middlefield will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Middlefield Banc listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.242 | Dividend Share 0.83 | Earnings Share 2.55 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.336 |
The market value of Middlefield Banc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Middlefield that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Middlefield Banc's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Middlefield Banc's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Middlefield Banc's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Middlefield Banc's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Middlefield Banc's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Middlefield Banc is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Middlefield Banc's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.