FS KKR Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| FSK Stock | USD 14.46 0.10 0.70% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of FS KKR Capital on the next trading day is expected to be 14.46 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14 and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.16. FSK Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although FS KKR's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of FS KKR's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of FS KKR fundamentals over time.
As of now the relative strength index (rsi) of FS KKR's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.338 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.5441 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.37 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.0946 | Wall Street Target Price 17.325 |
Using FS KKR hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of FS KKR Capital from the perspective of FS KKR response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards FS KKR using FS KKR's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards FSK using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of FS KKR's stock price.
FS KKR Short Interest
An investor who is long FS KKR may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about FS KKR and may potentially protect profits, hedge FS KKR with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 17.8546 | Short Percent 0.0166 | Short Ratio 1.56 | Shares Short Prior Month 4.4 M | 50 Day MA 15.1212 |
FS KKR Capital Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to FS KKR's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in FSK. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding FSK can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around FS KKR Capital. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
FS KKR Implied Volatility | 0.72 |
FS KKR's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of FS KKR Capital stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if FS KKR's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that FS KKR stock will not fluctuate a lot when FS KKR's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of FS KKR Capital on the next trading day is expected to be 14.46 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14 and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.16. FS KKR after-hype prediction price | USD 14.46 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of FS KKR to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current FSK contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that FS KKR Capital will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.045% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With FS KKR trading at USD 14.46, that is roughly USD 0.006507 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating FS KKR's daily price movement you should consider acquiring FS KKR Capital options at the current volatility level of 0.72%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 FSK Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast FS KKR's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in FS KKR's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for FS KKR stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current FS KKR's open interest, investors have to compare it to FS KKR's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of FS KKR is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in FSK. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
FS KKR Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine FSK price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for FSK using various technical indicators. When you analyze FSK charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
FS KKR Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of FS KKR Capital on the next trading day is expected to be 14.46 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.16.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict FSK Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that FS KKR's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
FS KKR Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest FS KKR | FS KKR Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
FS KKR Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting FS KKR's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. FS KKR's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 13.27 and 15.65, respectively. We have considered FS KKR's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of FS KKR stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent FS KKR stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 112.7954 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.006 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.136 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0092 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 8.16 |
Predictive Modules for FS KKR
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FS KKR Capital. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of FS KKR's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
FS KKR After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of FS KKR at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in FS KKR or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of FS KKR, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
FS KKR Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting FS KKR's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on FS KKR's historical news coverage. FS KKR's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 13.26 and 15.66, respectively. We have considered FS KKR's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
FS KKR is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of FS KKR Capital is based on 3 months time horizon.
FS KKR Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as FS KKR is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading FS KKR backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with FS KKR, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.03 | 1.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10 Events / Month | 9 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
14.46 | 14.46 | 0.00 |
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FS KKR Hype Timeline
On the 23rd of January FS KKR Capital is traded for 14.46. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. FSK is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.03%. %. The volatility of related hype on FS KKR is about 8768.42%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 14.46. About 31.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.66. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. FS KKR Capital last dividend was issued on the 3rd of December 2025. The entity had 1:4 split on the 16th of June 2020. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of FS KKR to cross-verify your projections.FS KKR Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to FS KKR's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict FS KKR's future price movements. Getting to know how FS KKR's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how FS KKR may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Other Forecasting Options for FS KKR
For every potential investor in FSK, whether a beginner or expert, FS KKR's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. FSK Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in FSK. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying FS KKR's price trends.FS KKR Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with FS KKR stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of FS KKR could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing FS KKR by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
FS KKR Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how FS KKR stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading FS KKR shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying FS KKR stock market strength indicators, traders can identify FS KKR Capital entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
FS KKR Risk Indicators
The analysis of FS KKR's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in FS KKR's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting fsk stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.9206 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.07 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.2 | |||
| Variance | 1.44 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.33 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.14 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.05) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for FS KKR
The number of cover stories for FS KKR depends on current market conditions and FS KKR's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that FS KKR is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about FS KKR's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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FS KKR Short Properties
FS KKR's future price predictability will typically decrease when FS KKR's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of FS KKR Capital often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential FS KKR's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. FS KKR's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 280.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 296 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of FS KKR to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Funds Screener module to find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges.
Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of FS KKR. If investors know FSK will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about FS KKR listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.338 | Dividend Share 2.56 | Earnings Share 0.98 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.15) |
The market value of FS KKR Capital is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of FSK that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of FS KKR's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is FS KKR's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because FS KKR's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect FS KKR's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between FS KKR's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if FS KKR is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, FS KKR's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.