Stellus Capital Investment Stock Price Prediction
| SCM Stock | USD 13.80 0.06 0.43% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
49
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.976 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.42 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.706 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.49 | Wall Street Target Price 13.9 |
Using Stellus Capital hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Stellus Capital Investment from the perspective of Stellus Capital response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Stellus Capital to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Stellus because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Stellus Capital after-hype prediction price | USD 13.8 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Stellus |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Stellus Capital's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Stellus Capital After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Stellus Capital at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Stellus Capital or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Stellus Capital, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Stellus Capital Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Stellus Capital's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Stellus Capital's historical news coverage. Stellus Capital's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 13.06 and 14.54, respectively. We have considered Stellus Capital's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Stellus Capital is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Stellus Capital Inve is based on 3 months time horizon.
Stellus Capital Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Stellus Capital is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Stellus Capital backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Stellus Capital, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.04 | 0.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8 Events / Month | 11 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
13.80 | 13.80 | 0.00 |
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Stellus Capital Hype Timeline
On the 21st of November Stellus Capital Inve is traded for 13.80. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Stellus is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.04%. %. The volatility of related hype on Stellus Capital is about 1374.29%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 13.80. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.02. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Stellus Capital Inve last dividend was issued on the 29th of November 2024. The entity had 10043:1000 split on the 13th of January 2014. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Stellus Capital Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Stellus Capital Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Stellus Capital's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Stellus Capital's future price movements. Getting to know how Stellus Capital's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Stellus Capital may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Stellus Capital Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Stellus price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Stellus using various technical indicators. When you analyze Stellus charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
About Stellus Capital Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Stellus Capital stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Stellus Capital Investment, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Stellus Capital based on analysis of Stellus Capital hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Stellus Capital's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Stellus Capital's related companies. | 2021 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0829 | 0.13 | 0.0796 | Price To Sales Ratio | 5.95 | 0.002671 | 0.002538 |
Story Coverage note for Stellus Capital
The number of cover stories for Stellus Capital depends on current market conditions and Stellus Capital's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Stellus Capital is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Stellus Capital's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Stellus Capital Short Properties
Stellus Capital's future price predictability will typically decrease when Stellus Capital's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Stellus Capital Investment often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Stellus Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Stellus Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 22 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 26.1 B |
Check out Stellus Capital Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Odds Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.
Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Stellus Capital. If investors know Stellus will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Stellus Capital listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.976 | Dividend Share 1.599 | Earnings Share 2 | Revenue Per Share 4.314 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.03) |
The market value of Stellus Capital Inve is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Stellus that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Stellus Capital's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Stellus Capital's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Stellus Capital's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Stellus Capital's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Stellus Capital's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Stellus Capital is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Stellus Capital's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.