Fortescue Metals OTC Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

FSUGY Stock  USD 30.55  0.33  1.07%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Fortescue Metals Group on the next trading day is expected to be 30.55 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.39 and the sum of the absolute errors of 23.02. Fortescue OTC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
The value of RSI of Fortescue Metals' otc stock price is slightly above 62. This usually indicates that the otc stock is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Fortescue, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 62

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Fortescue Metals stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Fortescue Metals shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Fortescue Metals' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Fortescue Metals and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Fortescue Metals' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Fortescue Metals Group, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
It is a matter of debate whether otc price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Fortescue Metals based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. Using Fortescue Metals hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Fortescue Metals Group from the perspective of Fortescue Metals response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Fortescue Metals Group on the next trading day is expected to be 30.55 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.39 and the sum of the absolute errors of 23.02.

Fortescue Metals after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 30.55  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as otc price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Fortescue Metals to cross-verify your projections.

Fortescue Metals Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Fortescue price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Fortescue using various technical indicators. When you analyze Fortescue charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A two period moving average forecast for Fortescue Metals is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Fortescue Metals Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 10th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Fortescue Metals Group on the next trading day is expected to be 30.55 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.39, mean absolute percentage error of 0.26, and the sum of the absolute errors of 23.02.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Fortescue OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Fortescue Metals' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Fortescue Metals OTC Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Fortescue MetalsFortescue Metals Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Fortescue Metals Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Fortescue Metals' OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Fortescue Metals' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 29.00 and 32.10, respectively. We have considered Fortescue Metals' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
30.55
30.55
Expected Value
32.10
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Fortescue Metals otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Fortescue Metals otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria113.0766
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.1317
MADMean absolute deviation0.3902
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0138
SAESum of the absolute errors23.02
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Fortescue Metals Group price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Fortescue Metals. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Fortescue Metals

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fortescue Metals. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
29.0030.5532.10
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
27.5033.3534.90
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
28.6429.7930.94
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Fortescue Metals. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Fortescue Metals' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Fortescue Metals' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Fortescue Metals.

Other Forecasting Options for Fortescue Metals

For every potential investor in Fortescue, whether a beginner or expert, Fortescue Metals' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Fortescue OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Fortescue. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Fortescue Metals' price trends.

View Fortescue Metals Related Equities

 Risk & Return  Correlation

Fortescue Metals Technical and Predictive Analytics

The otc stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Fortescue Metals' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Fortescue Metals' current price.

Fortescue Metals Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Fortescue Metals otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Fortescue Metals shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Fortescue Metals otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Fortescue Metals Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Fortescue Metals Risk Indicators

The analysis of Fortescue Metals' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Fortescue Metals' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting fortescue otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Additional Tools for Fortescue OTC Stock Analysis

When running Fortescue Metals' price analysis, check to measure Fortescue Metals' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Fortescue Metals is operating at the current time. Most of Fortescue Metals' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Fortescue Metals' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Fortescue Metals' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Fortescue Metals to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.