Flotek Industries Stock Forecast - Simple Regression
| FTK Stock | USD 17.56 0.12 0.68% |
Flotek Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Flotek Industries' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Flotek Industries' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Flotek Industries fundamentals over time.
As of now, The relative strength index (RSI) of Flotek Industries' share price is at 52. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Flotek Industries, making its price go up or down. Momentum 52
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 5.625 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.1633 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.04 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.8775 | Wall Street Target Price 19 |
Using Flotek Industries hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Flotek Industries from the perspective of Flotek Industries response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Flotek Industries using Flotek Industries' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Flotek using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Flotek Industries' stock price.
Flotek Industries Short Interest
An investor who is long Flotek Industries may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Flotek Industries and may potentially protect profits, hedge Flotek Industries with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 13.826 | Short Percent 0.1818 | Short Ratio 8.07 | Shares Short Prior Month 2.9 M | 50 Day MA 16.219 |
Flotek Relative Strength Index
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Flotek Industries on the next trading day is expected to be 17.54 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.06 and the sum of the absolute errors of 64.60.Flotek Industries Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Flotek Industries' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Flotek. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Flotek can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Flotek Industries. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Flotek Industries' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Flotek Industries.
Flotek Industries Implied Volatility | 1.01 |
Flotek Industries' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Flotek Industries stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Flotek Industries' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Flotek Industries stock will not fluctuate a lot when Flotek Industries' options are near their expiration.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Flotek Industries on the next trading day is expected to be 17.54 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.06 and the sum of the absolute errors of 64.60. Flotek Industries after-hype prediction price | USD 17.56 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Flotek Industries to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Flotek contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Flotek Industries will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0631% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Flotek Industries trading at USD 17.56, that is roughly USD 0.0111 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Flotek Industries' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Flotek Industries options at the current volatility level of 1.01%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Flotek Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Flotek Industries' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Flotek Industries' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Flotek Industries stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Flotek Industries' open interest, investors have to compare it to Flotek Industries' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Flotek Industries is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Flotek. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Flotek Industries Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Flotek price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Flotek using various technical indicators. When you analyze Flotek charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Flotek Industries Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 27th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Flotek Industries on the next trading day is expected to be 17.54 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.06, mean absolute percentage error of 1.72, and the sum of the absolute errors of 64.60.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Flotek Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Flotek Industries' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Flotek Industries Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Flotek Industries | Flotek Industries Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Flotek Industries Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Flotek Industries' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Flotek Industries' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 13.19 and 21.88, respectively. We have considered Flotek Industries' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Flotek Industries stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Flotek Industries stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.651 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.059 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0658 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 64.5998 |
Predictive Modules for Flotek Industries
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Flotek Industries. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Flotek Industries' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Flotek Industries After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Flotek Industries at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Flotek Industries or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Flotek Industries, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Flotek Industries Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Flotek Industries' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Flotek Industries' historical news coverage. Flotek Industries' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 13.25 and 21.87, respectively. We have considered Flotek Industries' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Flotek Industries is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Flotek Industries is based on 3 months time horizon.
Flotek Industries Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Flotek Industries is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Flotek Industries backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Flotek Industries, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.22 | 4.35 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 24 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 24 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
17.56 | 17.56 | 0.00 |
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Flotek Industries Hype Timeline
On the 26th of January Flotek Industries is traded for 17.56. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Flotek is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.22%. %. The volatility of related hype on Flotek Industries is about 8055.56%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 17.57. About 53.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of Flotek Industries was currently reported as 3.7. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Flotek Industries had 1:6 split on the 26th of September 2023. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 24 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Flotek Industries to cross-verify your projections.Flotek Industries Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Flotek Industries' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Flotek Industries' future price movements. Getting to know how Flotek Industries' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Flotek Industries may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NOA | North American Construction | 0.61 | 9 per month | 2.66 | (0) | 3.61 | (4.12) | 11.65 | |
| OIS | Oil States International | (0.05) | 17 per month | 2.58 | 0.16 | 5.84 | (3.42) | 20.50 | |
| REPX | Riley Exploration Permian | 0.13 | 8 per month | 2.10 | (0.02) | 4.57 | (3.29) | 10.71 | |
| NGS | Natural Gas Services | (0.05) | 14 per month | 1.50 | 0.17 | 3.46 | (1.94) | 11.12 | |
| ISOU | IsoEnergy | 0.14 | 8 per month | 3.86 | 0.12 | 7.44 | (6.93) | 18.71 | |
| EU | enCore Energy Corp | 0.06 | 9 per month | 4.65 | 0.01 | 7.58 | (7.60) | 18.67 | |
| SD | SandRidge Energy | (0.05) | 13 per month | 1.71 | 0.19 | 4.49 | (2.46) | 10.99 | |
| FET | Forum Energy Technologies | (0.05) | 9 per month | 3.46 | 0.18 | 6.96 | (3.01) | 23.84 | |
| TBN | Tamboran Resources | (0.60) | 10 per month | 2.18 | 0.04 | 4.46 | (3.26) | 13.64 | |
| NGL | NGL Energy Partners | 0.40 | 8 per month | 2.13 | 0.17 | 6.60 | (3.58) | 36.12 |
Other Forecasting Options for Flotek Industries
For every potential investor in Flotek, whether a beginner or expert, Flotek Industries' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Flotek Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Flotek. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Flotek Industries' price trends.Flotek Industries Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Flotek Industries stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Flotek Industries could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Flotek Industries by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Flotek Industries Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Flotek Industries stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Flotek Industries shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Flotek Industries stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Flotek Industries entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Flotek Industries Risk Indicators
The analysis of Flotek Industries' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Flotek Industries' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting flotek stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.48 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.86 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.04 | |||
| Variance | 25.38 | |||
| Downside Variance | 18.07 | |||
| Semi Variance | 14.89 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.87) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Flotek Industries
The number of cover stories for Flotek Industries depends on current market conditions and Flotek Industries' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Flotek Industries is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Flotek Industries' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Flotek Industries Short Properties
Flotek Industries' future price predictability will typically decrease when Flotek Industries' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Flotek Industries often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Flotek Industries' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Flotek Industries' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 30.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 4.4 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Flotek Industries to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Flotek Stock please use our How to buy in Flotek Stock guide.You can also try the Instant Ratings module to determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Is Specialty Chemicals space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Flotek Industries. If investors know Flotek will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Flotek Industries listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 5.625 | Earnings Share 0.92 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.126 | Return On Assets |
The market value of Flotek Industries is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Flotek that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Flotek Industries' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Flotek Industries' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Flotek Industries' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Flotek Industries' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Flotek Industries' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Flotek Industries is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Flotek Industries' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.