Riley Exploration Permian Stock Price Prediction
| REPX Stock | USD 36.88 1.01 2.82% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
75
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.814 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.81 | EPS Estimate Current Year 5.51 | EPS Estimate Next Year 6.68 | Wall Street Target Price 51.5 |
Using Riley Exploration hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Riley Exploration Permian from the perspective of Riley Exploration response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Riley Exploration to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Riley because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Riley Exploration after-hype prediction price | USD 36.95 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Riley |
Riley Exploration After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Riley Exploration at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Riley Exploration or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Riley Exploration, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Riley Exploration Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Riley Exploration's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Riley Exploration's historical news coverage. Riley Exploration's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 34.45 and 39.45, respectively. We have considered Riley Exploration's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Riley Exploration is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Riley Exploration Permian is based on 3 months time horizon.
Riley Exploration Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Riley Exploration is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Riley Exploration backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Riley Exploration, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.40 | 2.50 | 0.07 | 0.01 | 9 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
36.88 | 36.95 | 0.19 |
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Riley Exploration Hype Timeline
Riley Exploration Permian is at this time traded for 36.88. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.07, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Riley is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 36.95 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is forecasted to be 0.19%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.4%. The volatility of related hype on Riley Exploration is about 9722.22%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 36.89. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 375.05 M. Net Income was 111.59 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 269.56 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Riley Exploration Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Riley Exploration Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Riley Exploration's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Riley Exploration's future price movements. Getting to know how Riley Exploration's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Riley Exploration may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| HUSA | Houston American Energy | 0.01 | 4 per month | 5.27 | 0.07 | 11.11 | (7.14) | 37.16 | |
| MXC | Mexco Energy | 0.19 | 49 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 5.43 | (7.99) | 19.69 | |
| REI | Ring Energy | 0.04 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 4.43 | (5.33) | 18.99 | |
| PVL | Permianville Royalty Trust | (0.02) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 3.38 | (4.91) | 12.07 | |
| GTE | Gran Tierra Energy | 0.09 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 4.31 | (4.63) | 12.49 | |
| EPSN | Epsilon Energy | (0.1) | 6 per month | 2.17 | 0.04 | 4.46 | (3.74) | 11.32 | |
| EPM | Evolution Petroleum | (0.03) | 8 per month | 1.63 | 0.09 | 3.99 | (2.93) | 20.30 |
Riley Exploration Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Riley price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Riley using various technical indicators. When you analyze Riley charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
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| Statistic Functions | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
About Riley Exploration Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Riley Exploration stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Riley Exploration Permian, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Riley Exploration based on analysis of Riley Exploration hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Riley Exploration's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Riley Exploration's related companies. | 2021 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0433 | 0.0516 | 0.0542 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.8 | 1.43 | 1.36 |
Story Coverage note for Riley Exploration
The number of cover stories for Riley Exploration depends on current market conditions and Riley Exploration's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Riley Exploration is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Riley Exploration's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Riley Exploration Short Properties
Riley Exploration's future price predictability will typically decrease when Riley Exploration's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Riley Exploration Permian often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Riley Exploration's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Riley Exploration's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 20 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 15.3 M |
Additional Tools for Riley Stock Analysis
When running Riley Exploration's price analysis, check to measure Riley Exploration's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Riley Exploration is operating at the current time. Most of Riley Exploration's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Riley Exploration's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Riley Exploration's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Riley Exploration to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.