FAST TRACK Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| FTRK Stock | USD 0.53 0.03 5.36% |
FAST Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although FAST TRACK's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of FAST TRACK's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of FAST TRACK fundamentals over time.
As of now the relative strength index (rsi) of FAST TRACK's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.97) |
Using FAST TRACK hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of FAST TRACK GROUP from the perspective of FAST TRACK response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of FAST TRACK GROUP on the next trading day is expected to be 0.86 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.23. FAST TRACK after-hype prediction price | USD 0.49 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of FAST TRACK to cross-verify your projections. FAST TRACK Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine FAST price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for FAST using various technical indicators. When you analyze FAST charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
FAST TRACK Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 8th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of FAST TRACK GROUP on the next trading day is expected to be 0.86 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.23.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict FAST Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that FAST TRACK's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
FAST TRACK Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest FAST TRACK | FAST TRACK Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
FAST TRACK Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting FAST TRACK's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. FAST TRACK's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 10.29, respectively. We have considered FAST TRACK's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of FAST TRACK stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent FAST TRACK stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.3319 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1185 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.2005 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 7.2276 |
Predictive Modules for FAST TRACK
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as FAST TRACK GROUP. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.FAST TRACK After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of FAST TRACK at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in FAST TRACK or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of FAST TRACK, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
FAST TRACK Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting FAST TRACK's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on FAST TRACK's historical news coverage. FAST TRACK's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.02 and 9.88, respectively. We have considered FAST TRACK's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
FAST TRACK is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of FAST TRACK GROUP is based on 3 months time horizon.
FAST TRACK Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as FAST TRACK is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading FAST TRACK backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with FAST TRACK, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.63 | 9.42 | 0.06 | 0.05 | 5 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 5 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.53 | 0.49 | 12.50 |
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FAST TRACK Hype Timeline
FAST TRACK GROUP is currently traded for 0.53. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.06, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.05. FAST is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 0.49. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -12.5%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.63%. The volatility of related hype on FAST TRACK is about 12394.74%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.48. About 63.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.02. FAST TRACK GROUP had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 5 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of FAST TRACK to cross-verify your projections.FAST TRACK Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to FAST TRACK's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict FAST TRACK's future price movements. Getting to know how FAST TRACK's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how FAST TRACK may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TNMG | TNL Mediagene Ordinary | (0.75) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 20.60 | (15.98) | 81.66 | |
| DRCT | Direct Digital Holdings | (0.16) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 11.11 | (17.27) | 95.20 | |
| DKI | DarkIris Class A | (0.23) | 2 per month | 6.81 | 0.06 | 12.82 | (10.87) | 216.30 | |
| LDWY | Lendway | 0.02 | 9 per month | 5.65 | 0.06 | 13.35 | (11.89) | 40.34 | |
| XHLD | TEN Holdings Common | (0.01) | 6 per month | 9.91 | 0.03 | 12.30 | (18.75) | 204.72 | |
| ZNB | Zeta Network Group | 0.06 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 12.90 | (18.03) | 90.82 | |
| CPOP | Pop Culture Group | (0.05) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 11.11 | (10.26) | 31.15 | |
| PCLA | PicoCELA American Depositary | 0.29 | 4 per month | 9.25 | 0.03 | 9.71 | (17.06) | 228.24 | |
| KRKR | 36Kr Holdings | (0.08) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 8.67 | (8.51) | 27.42 | |
| BBGI | Beasley Broadcast Group | 0.15 | 7 per month | 8.71 | 0.07 | 10.85 | (16.18) | 359.13 |
Other Forecasting Options for FAST TRACK
For every potential investor in FAST, whether a beginner or expert, FAST TRACK's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. FAST Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in FAST. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying FAST TRACK's price trends.FAST TRACK Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with FAST TRACK stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of FAST TRACK could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing FAST TRACK by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
FAST TRACK Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how FAST TRACK stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading FAST TRACK shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying FAST TRACK stock market strength indicators, traders can identify FAST TRACK GROUP entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
FAST TRACK Risk Indicators
The analysis of FAST TRACK's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in FAST TRACK's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting fast stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 6.98 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 7.54 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 9.29 | |||
| Variance | 86.22 | |||
| Downside Variance | 70.83 | |||
| Semi Variance | 56.78 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (8.86) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for FAST TRACK
The number of cover stories for FAST TRACK depends on current market conditions and FAST TRACK's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that FAST TRACK is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about FAST TRACK's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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FAST TRACK Short Properties
FAST TRACK's future price predictability will typically decrease when FAST TRACK's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of FAST TRACK GROUP often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential FAST TRACK's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. FAST TRACK's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 17.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 268.4 K |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of FAST TRACK to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Transaction History module to view history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance.
Is Entertainment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of FAST TRACK. Market participants price FAST higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive FAST TRACK assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Understanding FAST TRACK GROUP requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects FAST's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what FAST TRACK's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push FAST TRACK's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between FAST TRACK's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if FAST TRACK is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, FAST TRACK's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.