Fubotv Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing

FUBO Stock  USD 1.77  0.50  22.03%   
Fubotv Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Fubotv's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Fubotv's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Fubotv fundamentals over time.
The relative strength indicator of Fubotv's share price is below 30 as of today. This usually indicates that the stock is becoming oversold or undervalued. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Fubotv Inc, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 24

 Sell Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Fubotv's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Fubotv Inc, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Fubotv's stock price prediction:
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
(0.02)
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.075
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.255
Wall Street Target Price
4.5
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
(0.04)
Using Fubotv hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Fubotv Inc from the perspective of Fubotv response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Fubotv using Fubotv's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Fubotv using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Fubotv's stock price.

Fubotv Short Interest

An investor who is long Fubotv may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Fubotv and may potentially protect profits, hedge Fubotv with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
3.3466
Short Percent
0.1557
Short Ratio
4.95
Shares Short Prior Month
64.5 M
50 Day MA
2.7072

Fubotv Relative Strength Index

The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Fubotv Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 1.77 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.54.

Fubotv Inc Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Fubotv's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Fubotv. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Fubotv can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Fubotv Inc. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Fubotv's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Fubotv.

Fubotv Implied Volatility

    
  0.94  
Fubotv's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Fubotv Inc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Fubotv's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Fubotv stock will not fluctuate a lot when Fubotv's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Fubotv Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 1.77 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.54.

Fubotv after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 1.82  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Fubotv to cross-verify your projections.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Fubotv contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Fubotv Inc will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0588% per day over the life of the 2026-05-15 option contract. With Fubotv trading at USD 1.77, that is roughly USD 0.00104 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Fubotv's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Fubotv Inc options at the current volatility level of 0.94%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.

Open Interest Against 2026-05-15 Fubotv Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Fubotv's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Fubotv's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Fubotv stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Fubotv's open interest, investors have to compare it to Fubotv's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Fubotv is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Fubotv. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Fubotv Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Fubotv price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Fubotv using various technical indicators. When you analyze Fubotv charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Fubotv simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Fubotv Inc are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Fubotv Inc prices get older.

Fubotv Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 5th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Fubotv Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 1.77 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.54.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Fubotv Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Fubotv's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Fubotv Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Fubotv  Fubotv Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Fubotv Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Fubotv's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Fubotv's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 5.75, respectively. We have considered Fubotv's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
1.77
1.77
Expected Value
5.75
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Fubotv stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Fubotv stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria111.8225
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0333
MADMean absolute deviation0.0757
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0281
SAESum of the absolute errors4.54
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Fubotv Inc forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Fubotv observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Fubotv

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fubotv Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.091.825.80
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.122.436.41
Details
8 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
4.104.505.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Fubotv. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Fubotv's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Fubotv's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Fubotv Inc.

Fubotv After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Fubotv at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Fubotv or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Fubotv, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Fubotv Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Fubotv's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Fubotv's historical news coverage. Fubotv's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.09 and 5.80, respectively. We have considered Fubotv's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
1.77
1.82
After-hype Price
5.80
Upside
Fubotv is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Fubotv Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.

Fubotv Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Fubotv is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Fubotv backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Fubotv, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  1.29 
3.98
  0.05 
  0.61 
11 Events / Month
7 Events / Month
In about 11 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
1.77
1.82
2.82 
9,950  
Notes

Fubotv Hype Timeline

Fubotv Inc is currently traded for 1.77. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.61. Fubotv is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 1.82 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 2.82%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -1.29%. The volatility of related hype on Fubotv is about 845.01%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.38. Fubotv Inc currently holds 378.42 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.74, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 11 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Fubotv to cross-verify your projections.

Fubotv Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Fubotv's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Fubotv's future price movements. Getting to know how Fubotv's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Fubotv may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
TVGrupo Televisa SAB 0.13 10 per month 2.15  0.09  4.14 (2.90) 14.30 
NMAXNewsmax(0.07)9 per month 0.00 (0.17) 5.55 (5.42) 20.81 
MOMOHello Group 1.52 1 per month 0.00 (0.08) 2.80 (2.55) 9.42 
GIBOGlobal IBO Group 0.08 5 per month 0.00 (0.08) 9.44 (8.30) 32.13 
IDTIDT Corporation 1.52 1 per month 0.00 (0.07) 2.68 (2.58) 7.41 
OPRAOpera 0.52 6 per month 0.00 (0.05) 4.52 (5.63) 13.83 
ZDZiff Davis 1.14 10 per month 2.26  0.01  3.77 (3.48) 12.30 
ATUSAltice USA(0.09)8 per month 0.00 (0.11) 5.88 (5.98) 15.67 
STGWStagwell(0.14)12 per month 3.81  0.04  5.90 (5.55) 31.07 
GOGOGogo Inc 0.1 12 per month 0.00 (0.27) 3.75 (6.75) 23.86 

Other Forecasting Options for Fubotv

For every potential investor in Fubotv, whether a beginner or expert, Fubotv's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Fubotv Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Fubotv. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Fubotv's price trends.

Fubotv Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Fubotv stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Fubotv could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Fubotv by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Fubotv Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Fubotv stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Fubotv shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Fubotv stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Fubotv Inc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Fubotv Risk Indicators

The analysis of Fubotv's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Fubotv's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting fubotv stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Fubotv

The number of cover stories for Fubotv depends on current market conditions and Fubotv's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Fubotv is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Fubotv's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Fubotv Short Properties

Fubotv's future price predictability will typically decrease when Fubotv's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Fubotv Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Fubotv's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fubotv's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding319.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments161.4 M
When determining whether Fubotv Inc offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Fubotv's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Fubotv Inc Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Fubotv Inc Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Fubotv to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world.
Will Systems Software sector continue expanding? Could Fubotv diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Fubotv. Market participants price Fubotv higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Fubotv data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Earnings Share
0.32
Revenue Per Share
4.655
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.031
Return On Assets
(0.07)
Return On Equity
(0.17)
Fubotv Inc's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Fubotv's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Fubotv's intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Since Fubotv's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Fubotv's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Fubotv is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Fubotv's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.