Ziff Davis Stock Price Prediction
| ZD Stock | USD 57.22 1.18 2.11% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
60
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.164 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 2.69 | EPS Estimate Current Year 6.645 | EPS Estimate Next Year 7.3099 | Wall Street Target Price 74.8333 |
Using Ziff Davis hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Ziff Davis from the perspective of Ziff Davis response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Ziff Davis using Ziff Davis' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Ziff using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Ziff Davis' stock price.
Ziff Davis Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Ziff Davis' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Ziff. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Ziff Davis stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 53.4562 | Short Percent 0.0764 | Short Ratio 6.05 | Shares Short Prior Month 2.7 M | 50 Day MA 49.0698 |
Ziff Davis Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Ziff Davis' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Ziff. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Ziff can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Ziff Davis. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Ziff Davis' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Ziff Davis.
Ziff Davis Implied Volatility | 0.9 |
Ziff Davis' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Ziff Davis stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Ziff Davis' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Ziff Davis stock will not fluctuate a lot when Ziff Davis' options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Ziff Davis to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Ziff because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Ziff Davis after-hype prediction price | USD 56.95 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Ziff contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Ziff Davis will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0563% per day over the life of the 2024-12-20 option contract. With Ziff Davis trading at USD 57.22, that is roughly USD 0.0322 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Ziff Davis' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Ziff Davis options at the current volatility level of 0.9%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Ziff |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ziff Davis' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Ziff Davis After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Ziff Davis at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Ziff Davis or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Ziff Davis, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Ziff Davis Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Ziff Davis' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Ziff Davis' historical news coverage. Ziff Davis' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 54.10 and 59.80, respectively. We have considered Ziff Davis' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Ziff Davis is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Ziff Davis is based on 3 months time horizon.
Ziff Davis Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Ziff Davis is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Ziff Davis backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Ziff Davis, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.35 | 2.87 | 0.26 | 0.05 | 7 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
57.22 | 56.95 | 0.47 |
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Ziff Davis Hype Timeline
As of November 22, 2024 Ziff Davis is listed for 57.22. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.26, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.05. Ziff is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 56.95. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.47%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.35%. The volatility of related hype on Ziff Davis is about 2050.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 57.27. About 97.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 1.37. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. Ziff Davis has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.84. The entity last dividend was issued on the 17th of May 2019. The firm had 115:100 split on the 8th of October 2021. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Ziff Davis Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Ziff Davis Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Ziff Davis' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Ziff Davis' future price movements. Getting to know how Ziff Davis' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Ziff Davis may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| IPG | Interpublic Group of | 0.1 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 1.72 | (1.60) | 9.73 | |
| CRTO | Criteo Sa | (0.59) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 3.92 | (4.38) | 26.95 | |
| WPP | WPP PLC ADR | 1.06 | 7 per month | 1.16 | 0.07 | 2.12 | (1.96) | 8.80 | |
| IAS | Integral Ad Science | 0.13 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 3.45 | (2.41) | 23.54 | |
| OMC | Omnicom Group | (0.02) | 11 per month | 1.55 | (0.02) | 1.82 | (1.24) | 10.11 | |
| TSQ | Townsquare Media | (0.16) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 3.24 | (2.72) | 9.63 | |
| CMPR | Cimpress NV | 0.94 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 3.77 | (4.08) | 16.61 | |
| TZOO | Travelzoo | (0.07) | 11 per month | 2.44 | 0.14 | 12.85 | (4.06) | 20.89 | |
| EEX | Emerald Expositions Events | (0.10) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 4.73 | (7.44) | 36.80 | |
| DRCT | Direct Digital Holdings | 0.11 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 8.40 | (16.56) | 55.53 |
Ziff Davis Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Ziff price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Ziff using various technical indicators. When you analyze Ziff charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Ziff Davis Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Ziff Davis stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Ziff Davis, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Ziff Davis based on analysis of Ziff Davis hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Ziff Davis's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Ziff Davis's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Payout Ratio | 0.18 | 0.32 | Interest Coverage | 6.62 | 6.29 |
Story Coverage note for Ziff Davis
The number of cover stories for Ziff Davis depends on current market conditions and Ziff Davis' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Ziff Davis is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Ziff Davis' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Ziff Davis Short Properties
Ziff Davis' future price predictability will typically decrease when Ziff Davis' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Ziff Davis often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Ziff Davis' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ziff Davis' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 46.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 764.7 M |
Complementary Tools for Ziff Stock analysis
When running Ziff Davis' price analysis, check to measure Ziff Davis' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ziff Davis is operating at the current time. Most of Ziff Davis' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ziff Davis' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ziff Davis' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ziff Davis to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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