Sprott Focus Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| FUND Stock | USD 9.55 0.00 0.00% |
Sprott Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Sprott Focus stock prices and determine the direction of Sprott Focus Trust's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Sprott Focus' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Sprott Focus' share price is above 70 at the present time. This usually indicates that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Sprott, making its price go up or down. Momentum 73
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.73) | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.061 |
Using Sprott Focus hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Sprott Focus Trust from the perspective of Sprott Focus response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Sprott Focus Trust on the next trading day is expected to be 9.55 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.73. Sprott Focus after-hype prediction price | USD 9.47 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sprott Focus to cross-verify your projections. Sprott Focus Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Sprott price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Sprott using various technical indicators. When you analyze Sprott charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Sprott Focus Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 30th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Sprott Focus Trust on the next trading day is expected to be 9.55 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.73.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Sprott Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Sprott Focus' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Sprott Focus Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Sprott Focus | Sprott Focus Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Sprott Focus Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Sprott Focus' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Sprott Focus' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 8.62 and 10.48, respectively. We have considered Sprott Focus' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Sprott Focus stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Sprott Focus stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 109.7426 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0373 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0802 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0094 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 4.7335 |
Predictive Modules for Sprott Focus
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sprott Focus Trust. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sprott Focus After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Sprott Focus at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Sprott Focus or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Sprott Focus, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Sprott Focus Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Sprott Focus' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Sprott Focus' historical news coverage. Sprott Focus' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 8.54 and 10.40, respectively. We have considered Sprott Focus' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Sprott Focus is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Sprott Focus Trust is based on 3 months time horizon.
Sprott Focus Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Sprott Focus is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Sprott Focus backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Sprott Focus, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.27 | 0.93 | 0.04 | 0.85 | 9 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
9.55 | 9.47 | 0.11 |
|
Sprott Focus Hype Timeline
Sprott Focus Trust is currently traded for 9.55. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.85. Sprott is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 9.47. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.11%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.27%. The volatility of related hype on Sprott Focus is about 29.54%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 8.70. About 55.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.14. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Sprott Focus Trust last dividend was issued on the 12th of December 2025. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sprott Focus to cross-verify your projections.Sprott Focus Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Sprott Focus' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Sprott Focus' future price movements. Getting to know how Sprott Focus' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Sprott Focus may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FLSPX | Spectrum Fund Retail | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.56 | 0.1 | 1.29 | (1.32) | 6.07 | |
| HLMEX | Harding Loevner Institutional | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 1.18 | (1.13) | 50.48 | |
| BTMFX | Boston Trust Midcap | (9.78) | 1 per month | 0.41 | 0.08 | 1.62 | (0.96) | 12.36 | |
| HYI | Western Asset High | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.35 | (0.19) | 0.63 | (0.64) | 1.53 | |
| NSCRX | Nuveen Nwq Small Cap | (0.03) | 4 per month | 0.73 | 0.12 | 2.63 | (1.66) | 10.64 | |
| NSCFX | Nuveen Nwq Small Cap | 0.02 | 2 per month | 0.73 | 0.12 | 2.64 | (1.66) | 10.41 | |
| WSEFX | Walden Equity Fund | (21.69) | 7 per month | 0.00 | 0.14 | 1.29 | (0.88) | 13.50 | |
| CRAAX | Columbia Adaptive Risk | 0.01 | 1 per month | 0.38 | (0.02) | 0.68 | (0.66) | 2.14 | |
| FTF | Franklin Templeton Limited | (0.02) | 7 per month | 0.27 | (0.06) | 0.66 | (0.67) | 1.68 | |
| FCT | First Trust Senior | 0.01 | 4 per month | 0.19 | 0.05 | 0.85 | (0.70) | 6.13 |
Other Forecasting Options for Sprott Focus
For every potential investor in Sprott, whether a beginner or expert, Sprott Focus' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Sprott Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Sprott. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Sprott Focus' price trends.Sprott Focus Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Sprott Focus stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Sprott Focus could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Sprott Focus by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Sprott Focus Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Sprott Focus stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Sprott Focus shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Sprott Focus stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Sprott Focus Trust entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.0094 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 9.51 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 9.52 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 0.09 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.045 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 73.5 |
Sprott Focus Risk Indicators
The analysis of Sprott Focus' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Sprott Focus' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting sprott stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.7684 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.692 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.9465 | |||
| Variance | 0.8959 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.8743 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.4789 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.90) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Sprott Focus
The number of cover stories for Sprott Focus depends on current market conditions and Sprott Focus' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Sprott Focus is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Sprott Focus' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Sprott Focus Short Properties
Sprott Focus' future price predictability will typically decrease when Sprott Focus' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Sprott Focus Trust often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Sprott Focus' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sprott Focus' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 32.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 107.9 K | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 0.58 |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sprott Focus to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios.
Will Asset Management & Custody Banks sector continue expanding? Could Sprott diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Sprott Focus. Market participants price Sprott higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Sprott Focus data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.73) | Dividend Share 0.605 | Earnings Share 0.44 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.061 |
Understanding Sprott Focus Trust requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Sprott's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what Sprott Focus' is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Sprott Focus' price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Sprott Focus' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Sprott Focus is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, Sprott Focus' trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.