Fuse Group OTC Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

FUST Stock  USD 0.19  0.04  17.39%   
Fuse OTC Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, the value of RSI of Fuse Group's share price is approaching 46. This usually indicates that the otc stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Fuse Group, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 46

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Fuse Group Holding stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Fuse Group shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Fuse Group's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Fuse Group and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Fuse Group's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Fuse Group Holding, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Fuse Group hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Fuse Group Holding from the perspective of Fuse Group response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Fuse Group Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 0.26 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14 and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.69.

Fuse Group after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.19  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as otc price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Fuse Group to cross-verify your projections.

Fuse Group Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Fuse price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Fuse using various technical indicators. When you analyze Fuse charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Fuse Group price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Fuse Group Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 28th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Fuse Group Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 0.26 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.69.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Fuse OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Fuse Group's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Fuse Group OTC Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Fuse Group  Fuse Group Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Fuse Group Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Fuse Group's OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Fuse Group's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 32.06, respectively. We have considered Fuse Group's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.19
0.26
Expected Value
32.06
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Fuse Group otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Fuse Group otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria114.7161
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.1425
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.4994
SAESum of the absolute errors8.6917
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Fuse Group Holding historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Fuse Group

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fuse Group Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Fuse Group's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.1931.73
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.1631.70
Details

Fuse Group After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Fuse Group at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Fuse Group or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of OTC Stock prices, such as prices of Fuse Group, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Fuse Group Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Fuse Group's otc stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Fuse Group's historical news coverage. Fuse Group's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.01 and 31.73, respectively. We have considered Fuse Group's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.19
0.19
After-hype Price
31.73
Upside
Fuse Group is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Fuse Group Holding is based on 3 months time horizon.

Fuse Group OTC Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a OTC Stock such as Fuse Group is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Fuse Group backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the OTC price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Fuse Group, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  3.64 
31.80
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.19
0.19
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Fuse Group Hype Timeline

Fuse Group Holding is currently traded for 0.19. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Fuse is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 3.64%. %. The volatility of related hype on Fuse Group is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.19. About 68.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.02. Fuse Group Holding had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 5:1 split on the 16th of June 2017. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in a few days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Fuse Group to cross-verify your projections.

Fuse Group Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Fuse Group's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Fuse Group's future price movements. Getting to know how Fuse Group's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Fuse Group may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
GELEFGraphano Energy 0.00 0 per month 10.68  0.06  35.71 (23.53) 121.73 
FSVEFFirestone Ventures 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.11  0.00  0.00  28.92 
LXENFLithium Energi Exploration 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
BRVVFQuantum Battery Metals 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.07  0.00  0.00  12.50 
BYDMFBeyond Minerals 0.00 0 per month 8.97  0.12  22.45 (16.90) 65.82 
MLLOFMedallion Resources 0.00 0 per month 14.34  0.1  57.14 (26.36) 121.55 
SVMFFSilver Valley Metals 0.00 0 per month 3.16  0.24  14.29 (7.30) 31.76 
SLTFFPegasus Resources 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.06  8.08 (6.10) 103.79 
CAXPFDistrict Copper Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.03) 13.78 (17.92) 37.69 
BMVVFBathurst Metals Corp 0.00 0 per month 10.12  0  0.00 (16.43) 114.29 

Other Forecasting Options for Fuse Group

For every potential investor in Fuse, whether a beginner or expert, Fuse Group's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Fuse OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Fuse. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Fuse Group's price trends.

Fuse Group Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Fuse Group otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Fuse Group could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Fuse Group by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Fuse Group Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Fuse Group otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Fuse Group shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Fuse Group otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Fuse Group Holding entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Fuse Group Risk Indicators

The analysis of Fuse Group's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Fuse Group's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting fuse otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Fuse Group

The number of cover stories for Fuse Group depends on current market conditions and Fuse Group's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Fuse Group is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Fuse Group's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Additional Tools for Fuse OTC Stock Analysis

When running Fuse Group's price analysis, check to measure Fuse Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Fuse Group is operating at the current time. Most of Fuse Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Fuse Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Fuse Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Fuse Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.