Formula One Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

FWONBDelisted Stock  USD 66.00  0.00  0.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Formula One Group on the next trading day is expected to be 66.17 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.65 and the sum of the absolute errors of 39.91. Formula Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Formula One stock prices and determine the direction of Formula One Group's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Formula One's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A naive forecasting model for Formula One is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Formula One Group value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Formula One Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 27th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Formula One Group on the next trading day is expected to be 66.17 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.65, mean absolute percentage error of 0.81, and the sum of the absolute errors of 39.91.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Formula Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Formula One's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Formula One Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Formula OneFormula One Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Formula One pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Formula One pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.8969
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.6542
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.01
SAESum of the absolute errors39.9074
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Formula One Group. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Formula One. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Formula One

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Formula One Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
66.0066.0066.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
55.8955.8972.60
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
66.0066.0066.00
Details

Formula One Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Formula One pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Formula One could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Formula One by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Formula One Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Formula One pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Formula One shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Formula One pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Formula One Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Formula One Risk Indicators

The analysis of Formula One's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Formula One's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting formula pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
You can also try the Stock Tickers module to use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites.

Other Consideration for investing in Formula Pink Sheet

If you are still planning to invest in Formula One Group check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Formula One's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
Economic Indicators
Top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing
Bonds Directory
Find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies
Equity Analysis
Research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities
Portfolio File Import
Quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format
Piotroski F Score
Get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals
Portfolio Volatility
Check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk