Formula One Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

FWONB Stock  USD 88.20  0.70  0.80%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Formula One Group on the next trading day is expected to be 88.20 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.30 and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.28. Formula Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Formula One stock prices and determine the direction of Formula One Group's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Formula One's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength index (rsi) of Formula One's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Formula One's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Formula One Group, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Formula One hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Formula One Group from the perspective of Formula One response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Formula One Group on the next trading day is expected to be 88.20 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.30 and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.28.

Formula One after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 88.2  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Formula One to cross-verify your projections.

Formula One Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Formula price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Formula using various technical indicators. When you analyze Formula charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Formula One simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Formula One Group are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Formula One Group prices get older.

Formula One Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 3rd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Formula One Group on the next trading day is expected to be 88.20 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.30, mean absolute percentage error of 0.94, and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.28.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Formula Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Formula One's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Formula One Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Formula OneFormula One Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Formula One Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Formula One's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Formula One's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 87.15 and 89.25, respectively. We have considered Formula One's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
88.20
88.20
Expected Value
89.25
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Formula One pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Formula One pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.2115
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0967
MADMean absolute deviation0.3047
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0034
SAESum of the absolute errors18.28
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Formula One Group forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Formula One observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Formula One

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Formula One Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
87.1588.2089.25
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
75.5776.6297.02
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
82.8886.6290.35
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Formula One

For every potential investor in Formula, whether a beginner or expert, Formula One's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Formula Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Formula. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Formula One's price trends.

Formula One Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Formula One pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Formula One could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Formula One by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Formula One Group Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Formula One's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Formula One's current price.

Formula One Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Formula One pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Formula One shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Formula One pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Formula One Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Formula One Risk Indicators

The analysis of Formula One's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Formula One's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting formula pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Formula Pink Sheet

Formula One financial ratios help investors to determine whether Formula Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Formula with respect to the benefits of owning Formula One security.