Foxby Corp Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| FXBY Stock | USD 23.36 0.00 0.00% |
Foxby Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Foxby Corp's share price is at 57. This usually indicates that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Foxby Corp, making its price go up or down. Momentum 57
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Foxby Corp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Foxby Corp from the perspective of Foxby Corp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Foxby Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 23.36 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.28 and the sum of the absolute errors of 16.61. Foxby Corp after-hype prediction price | USD 23.36 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Foxby |
Foxby Corp Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Foxby price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Foxby using various technical indicators. When you analyze Foxby charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Foxby Corp Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 28th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Foxby Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 23.36 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.28, mean absolute percentage error of 0.23, and the sum of the absolute errors of 16.61.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Foxby Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Foxby Corp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Foxby Corp Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
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Foxby Corp Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Foxby Corp's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Foxby Corp's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 21.16 and 25.55, respectively. We have considered Foxby Corp's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Foxby Corp pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Foxby Corp pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.7872 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0766 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2769 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0123 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 16.6127 |
Predictive Modules for Foxby Corp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Foxby Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Foxby Corp After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Foxby Corp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Foxby Corp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Foxby Corp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Foxby Corp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Foxby Corp's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Foxby Corp's historical news coverage. Foxby Corp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 21.17 and 25.55, respectively. We have considered Foxby Corp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Foxby Corp is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Foxby Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Foxby Corp Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Foxby Corp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Foxby Corp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Foxby Corp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.21 | 2.20 | 0.00 | 0.63 | 0 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
23.36 | 23.36 | 0.00 |
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Foxby Corp Hype Timeline
Foxby Corp is currently traded for 23.36. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.63. Foxby is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.21%. %. The volatility of related hype on Foxby Corp is about 73.74%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 23.99. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.75. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Foxby Corp recorded earning per share (EPS) of 6.93. The entity last dividend was issued on the 14th of December 2022. The firm had 1:5 split on the 7th of May 2021. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Foxby Corp to cross-verify your projections.Foxby Corp Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Foxby Corp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Foxby Corp's future price movements. Getting to know how Foxby Corp's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Foxby Corp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ASXSF | Elysee Development Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.72 | 0.09 | 9.09 | (7.69) | 22.58 | |
| ALPGF | Alpha Growth plc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| SBMW | SBMW | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.69 | 0.14 | 3.63 | (1.53) | 7.86 | |
| MAAL | The Marketing Alliance | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.40 | 0.02 | 5.30 | (5.00) | 12.53 | |
| EWGFF | Eat Well Investment | 29.84 | 4 per month | 68.40 | 0.17 | 500.00 | (90.83) | 19,998 | |
| WSSE | Wall Street Capital | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| PNXPF | Planet Ventures | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.57 | 0.20 | 16.67 | (9.52) | 106.25 | |
| MONTF | Montfort Capital Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 279.36 | |
| ASCN | Absecon Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.98 | 0.03 | 1.02 | (1.01) | 17.41 | |
| TDCB | Third Century Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.89 | (0.01) | 3.30 | (2.19) | 8.60 |
Other Forecasting Options for Foxby Corp
For every potential investor in Foxby, whether a beginner or expert, Foxby Corp's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Foxby Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Foxby. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Foxby Corp's price trends.Foxby Corp Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Foxby Corp pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Foxby Corp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Foxby Corp by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Foxby Corp Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Foxby Corp pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Foxby Corp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Foxby Corp pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Foxby Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Foxby Corp Risk Indicators
The analysis of Foxby Corp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Foxby Corp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting foxby pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.1 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.4 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.12 | |||
| Variance | 4.48 | |||
| Downside Variance | 11.17 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.96 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.53) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Foxby Corp
The number of cover stories for Foxby Corp depends on current market conditions and Foxby Corp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Foxby Corp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Foxby Corp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Additional Tools for Foxby Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Foxby Corp's price analysis, check to measure Foxby Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Foxby Corp is operating at the current time. Most of Foxby Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Foxby Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Foxby Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Foxby Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.