F45 Training Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Moving Average

FXLV Stock  USD 0.01  0  13.64%   
F45 Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, the relative strength index (RSI) of F45 Training's share price is approaching 42. This usually indicates that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling F45 Training, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 42

 Sell Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of F45 Training's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of F45 Training and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from F45 Training's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with F45 Training Holdings, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using F45 Training hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of F45 Training Holdings from the perspective of F45 Training response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of F45 Training Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 0.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.49.

F45 Training after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.0108  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of F45 Training to cross-verify your projections.

F45 Training Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine F45 price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for F45 using various technical indicators. When you analyze F45 charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A two period moving average forecast for F45 Training is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

F45 Training Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 28th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of F45 Training Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 0.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.49.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict F45 Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that F45 Training's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

F45 Training Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest F45 Training  F45 Training Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

F45 Training Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting F45 Training's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. F45 Training's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0001 and 244.79, respectively. We have considered F45 Training's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.01
0.0001
Downside
0.01
Expected Value
244.79
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of F45 Training pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent F45 Training pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria108.0069
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0022
MADMean absolute deviation0.0252
MAPEMean absolute percentage error4.2618
SAESum of the absolute errors1.4866
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of F45 Training Holdings price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of F45 Training. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for F45 Training

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as F45 Training Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0150.56
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0150.56
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
-0.020.060.14
Details

F45 Training After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of F45 Training at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in F45 Training or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of F45 Training, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

F45 Training Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting F45 Training's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on F45 Training's historical news coverage. F45 Training's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 50.56, respectively. We have considered F45 Training's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.01
0.01
After-hype Price
50.56
Upside
F45 Training is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of F45 Training Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.

F45 Training Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as F45 Training is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading F45 Training backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with F45 Training, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  66.34 
244.78
 0.00  
  9.29 
0 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.01
0.01
1.47 
0.00  
Notes

F45 Training Hype Timeline

F45 Training Holdings is currently traded for 0.01. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 9.29. F45 is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 0.0108. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is insignificant. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -1.47%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 66.34%. The volatility of related hype on F45 Training is about 174842.86%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 9.30. About 51.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in a few days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of F45 Training to cross-verify your projections.

F45 Training Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to F45 Training's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict F45 Training's future price movements. Getting to know how F45 Training's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how F45 Training may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
TOYRFToysRUs ANZ Limited 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
FFLOFree Flow 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.13) 0.00  0.00  78.50 
NFGRFBeijingWest Industries International 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.20  0.00  0.00  90.91 
ODDAFOdd Burger 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.06) 14.55 (16.18) 62.63 
GFASYGafisa SA ADR 0.00 0 per month 13.78  0.04  38.46 (27.78) 155.66 
TALNTalon International 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.02) 0.00 (14.29) 58.33 
AFFLAffiliated Resources Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.01) 3.88 (9.61) 84.81 
EPTIEnvironmental Packaging Technologies 0.00 3 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
BWMGBrownies Marine Group 1.40 6 per month 12.14  0.11  48.15 (32.50) 105.49 
XFTBXFit Brands 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.13) 0.00  0.00  80.00 

Other Forecasting Options for F45 Training

For every potential investor in F45, whether a beginner or expert, F45 Training's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. F45 Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in F45. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying F45 Training's price trends.

F45 Training Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with F45 Training pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of F45 Training could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing F45 Training by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

F45 Training Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how F45 Training pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading F45 Training shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying F45 Training pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify F45 Training Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

F45 Training Risk Indicators

The analysis of F45 Training's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in F45 Training's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting f45 pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for F45 Training

The number of cover stories for F45 Training depends on current market conditions and F45 Training's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that F45 Training is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about F45 Training's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

F45 Training Short Properties

F45 Training's future price predictability will typically decrease when F45 Training's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of F45 Training Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential F45 Training's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. F45 Training's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding60.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments42 M

Additional Tools for F45 Pink Sheet Analysis

When running F45 Training's price analysis, check to measure F45 Training's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy F45 Training is operating at the current time. Most of F45 Training's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of F45 Training's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move F45 Training's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of F45 Training to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.