Frontier Communications Stock Forward View

FYBR Stock  USD 38.49  0.00  0.00%   
Frontier Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Frontier Communications' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Frontier Communications' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Frontier Communications fundamentals over time.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Frontier Communications' stock price is slightly above 69. This usually indicates that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of today. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Frontier, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 69

 Buy Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Frontier Communications' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Frontier Communications and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Frontier Communications' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Frontier Communications Parent, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Frontier Communications' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.59)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
(0.26)
EPS Estimate Current Year
(1.33)
EPS Estimate Next Year
(1.13)
Wall Street Target Price
38.5
Using Frontier Communications hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Frontier Communications Parent from the perspective of Frontier Communications response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Frontier Communications using Frontier Communications' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Frontier using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Frontier Communications' stock price.

Frontier Communications Short Interest

An investor who is long Frontier Communications may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Frontier Communications and may potentially protect profits, hedge Frontier Communications with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
37.1792
Short Percent
0.0248
Short Ratio
1.86
Shares Short Prior Month
5.8 M
50 Day MA
38.0768

Frontier Relative Strength Index

The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Frontier Communications Parent on the next trading day is expected to be 38.72 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.87.

Frontier Communications Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Frontier Communications' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Frontier. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Frontier can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Frontier Communications Parent. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Frontier Communications' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Frontier Communications.

Frontier Communications Implied Volatility

    
  0.38  
Frontier Communications' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Frontier Communications Parent stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Frontier Communications' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Frontier Communications stock will not fluctuate a lot when Frontier Communications' options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Frontier Communications Parent on the next trading day is expected to be 38.72 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.87.

Frontier Communications after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 38.49  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of labor statistics.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Frontier contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Frontier Communications Parent will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0238% per day over the life of the 2026-05-15 option contract. With Frontier Communications trading at USD 38.49, that is roughly USD 0.009141 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Frontier Communications' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Frontier Communications Parent options at the current volatility level of 0.38%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.

Open Interest Against 2026-05-15 Frontier Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Frontier Communications' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Frontier Communications' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Frontier Communications stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Frontier Communications' open interest, investors have to compare it to Frontier Communications' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Frontier Communications is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Frontier. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Frontier Communications Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Frontier price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Frontier using various technical indicators. When you analyze Frontier charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Frontier Communications Cash Forecast

Forecasting financial indicators like cash flow involves analysts applying various statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools reveal hidden trends within the Frontier Communications' financial statements to estimate their effects on upcoming price movements.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2009-12-31
Previous Quarter
505 M
Current Value
420 M
Quarterly Volatility
526.5 M
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
A naive forecasting model for Frontier Communications is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Frontier Communications Parent value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Frontier Communications Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 5th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Frontier Communications Parent on the next trading day is expected to be 38.72 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.87.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Frontier Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Frontier Communications' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Frontier Communications Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Frontier Communications  Frontier Communications Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Frontier Communications stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Frontier Communications stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria112.4769
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0471
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0012
SAESum of the absolute errors2.8716
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Frontier Communications Parent. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Frontier Communications. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Frontier Communications

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Frontier Communications. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
38.3238.4938.66
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
35.1535.3242.34
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
37.9238.2138.51
Details
11 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
35.0438.5042.74
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Frontier Communications. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Frontier Communications' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Frontier Communications' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Frontier Communications.

Frontier Communications After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Frontier Communications at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Frontier Communications or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Frontier Communications, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Frontier Communications Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Frontier Communications' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Frontier Communications' historical news coverage. Frontier Communications' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 38.32 and 38.66, respectively. We have considered Frontier Communications' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
38.49
38.49
After-hype Price
38.66
Upside
Frontier Communications is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Frontier Communications is based on 3 months time horizon.

Frontier Communications Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Frontier Communications is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Frontier Communications backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Frontier Communications, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.04 
0.17
 0.00  
  0.04 
6 Events / Month
6 Events / Month
In about 6 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
38.49
38.49
0.00 
566.67  
Notes

Frontier Communications Hype Timeline

Frontier Communications is currently traded for 38.49. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.04. Frontier is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.04%. %. The volatility of related hype on Frontier Communications is about 16.86%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 38.45. About 93.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Frontier Communications was currently reported as 18.77. The company recorded a loss per share of 1.53. Frontier Communications had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 6 days.
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of labor statistics.

Frontier Communications Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Frontier Communications' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Frontier Communications' future price movements. Getting to know how Frontier Communications' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Frontier Communications may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Frontier Communications Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Frontier Communications stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Frontier Communications could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Frontier Communications by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Frontier Communications Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Frontier Communications stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Frontier Communications shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Frontier Communications stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Frontier Communications Parent entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Frontier Communications Risk Indicators

The analysis of Frontier Communications' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Frontier Communications' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting frontier stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Frontier Communications

The number of cover stories for Frontier Communications depends on current market conditions and Frontier Communications' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Frontier Communications is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Frontier Communications' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Frontier Communications Short Properties

Frontier Communications' future price predictability will typically decrease when Frontier Communications' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Frontier Communications Parent often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Frontier Communications' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Frontier Communications' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding248.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments806 M

Additional Tools for Frontier Stock Analysis

When running Frontier Communications' price analysis, check to measure Frontier Communications' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Frontier Communications is operating at the current time. Most of Frontier Communications' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Frontier Communications' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Frontier Communications' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Frontier Communications to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.