TSOGO SUN Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

G5E Stock  EUR 0.60  0.01  1.64%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of TSOGO SUN GAMING on the next trading day is expected to be 0.60 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.56. TSOGO Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of TSOGO SUN's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A four-period moving average forecast model for TSOGO SUN GAMING is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

TSOGO SUN 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 24th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of TSOGO SUN GAMING on the next trading day is expected to be 0.60 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0002, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.56.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict TSOGO Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that TSOGO SUN's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

TSOGO SUN Stock Forecast Pattern

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TSOGO SUN Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting TSOGO SUN's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. TSOGO SUN's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 2.30, respectively. We have considered TSOGO SUN's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.60
0.60
Expected Value
2.30
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of TSOGO SUN stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent TSOGO SUN stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria102.0449
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -8.0E-4
MADMean absolute deviation0.0097
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0156
SAESum of the absolute errors0.555
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of TSOGO SUN. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for TSOGO SUN GAMING and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for TSOGO SUN

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TSOGO SUN GAMING. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.030.602.31
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.030.612.32
Details

Other Forecasting Options for TSOGO SUN

For every potential investor in TSOGO, whether a beginner or expert, TSOGO SUN's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. TSOGO Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in TSOGO. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying TSOGO SUN's price trends.

TSOGO SUN Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with TSOGO SUN stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of TSOGO SUN could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing TSOGO SUN by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

TSOGO SUN GAMING Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of TSOGO SUN's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of TSOGO SUN's current price.

TSOGO SUN Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how TSOGO SUN stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading TSOGO SUN shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying TSOGO SUN stock market strength indicators, traders can identify TSOGO SUN GAMING entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

TSOGO SUN Risk Indicators

The analysis of TSOGO SUN's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in TSOGO SUN's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting tsogo stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in TSOGO Stock

TSOGO SUN financial ratios help investors to determine whether TSOGO Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in TSOGO with respect to the benefits of owning TSOGO SUN security.