Gaia Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| GAIA Stock | USD 3.81 0.09 2.42% |
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Gaia Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 3.81 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.48. Gaia Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Gaia stock prices and determine the direction of Gaia Inc's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Gaia's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Gaia's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.88) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.19) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.13) | Wall Street Target Price 7.625 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.05) |
Using Gaia hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Gaia Inc from the perspective of Gaia response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Gaia using Gaia's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Gaia using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Gaia's stock price.
Gaia Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Gaia's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Gaia. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Gaia stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 4.6554 | Short Percent 0.0292 | Short Ratio 3.97 | Shares Short Prior Month 492.3 K | 50 Day MA 3.7666 |
Gaia Inc Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Gaia's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Gaia. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Gaia can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Gaia Inc. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Gaia Implied Volatility | 1.62 |
Gaia's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Gaia Inc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Gaia's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Gaia stock will not fluctuate a lot when Gaia's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Gaia Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 3.81 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.48. Gaia after-hype prediction price | USD 3.75 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Gaia to cross-verify your projections. Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Gaia Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Gaia's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Gaia's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Gaia stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Gaia's open interest, investors have to compare it to Gaia's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Gaia is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Gaia. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Gaia Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Gaia price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Gaia using various technical indicators. When you analyze Gaia charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Gaia Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 25th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Gaia Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 3.81 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.48.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Gaia Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Gaia's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Gaia Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Gaia | Gaia Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Gaia Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Gaia's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Gaia's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.32 and 7.30, respectively. We have considered Gaia's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Gaia stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Gaia stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 112.6873 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0401 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1247 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0317 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 7.485 |
Predictive Modules for Gaia
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gaia Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Gaia After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Gaia at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Gaia or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Gaia, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Gaia Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Gaia's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Gaia's historical news coverage. Gaia's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.26 and 7.24, respectively. We have considered Gaia's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Gaia is moderately volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Gaia Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.
Gaia Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Gaia is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Gaia backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Gaia, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.57 | 3.49 | 0.06 | 0.04 | 11 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
3.81 | 3.75 | 1.57 |
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Gaia Hype Timeline
Gaia Inc is currently traded for 3.81. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.06, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.04. Gaia is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 3.75. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -1.57%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.57%. The volatility of related hype on Gaia is about 5369.23%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.85. About 15.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.08. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Gaia Inc has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.18. The entity recorded a loss per share of 0.2. The firm last dividend was issued on the 13th of December 2010. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Gaia to cross-verify your projections.Gaia Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Gaia's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Gaia's future price movements. Getting to know how Gaia's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Gaia may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CTW | CTW Cayman Class | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| STRZ | Starz Entertainment LLC | 0.98 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 5.61 | (5.15) | 17.68 | |
| TSQ | Townsquare Media | (0.06) | 12 per month | 3.60 | (0.02) | 4.56 | (4.79) | 17.71 | |
| CDLX | Cardlytics | (0.06) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 10.71 | (9.43) | 36.22 | |
| LVO | LiveOne | 0.02 | 11 per month | 4.43 | (0) | 6.78 | (7.32) | 29.05 | |
| XNET | Xunlei Ltd Adr | (0.06) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 4.32 | (5.27) | 15.16 | |
| RDI | Reading International | (0.07) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 3.17 | (4.51) | 14.05 | |
| FNGR | FingerMotion | 0.10 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 9.86 | (6.82) | 28.83 | |
| NIPG | NIP Group American | (0.14) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 6.04 | (6.54) | 18.48 | |
| IZEA | IZEA Inc | (0.06) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 4.58 | (4.35) | 11.69 |
Other Forecasting Options for Gaia
For every potential investor in Gaia, whether a beginner or expert, Gaia's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Gaia Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Gaia. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Gaia's price trends.Gaia Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Gaia stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Gaia could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Gaia by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Gaia Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Gaia stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Gaia shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Gaia stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Gaia Inc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 7525.84 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.36 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.02 | |||
| Day Median Price | 3.74 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 3.76 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.12 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.09 |
Gaia Risk Indicators
The analysis of Gaia's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Gaia's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting gaia stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.7 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.38 | |||
| Variance | 11.46 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Gaia
The number of cover stories for Gaia depends on current market conditions and Gaia's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Gaia is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Gaia's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Gaia Short Properties
Gaia's future price predictability will typically decrease when Gaia's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Gaia Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Gaia's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Gaia's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 23.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 5.9 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Gaia to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Stock Screener module to find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook..
Is Movies & Entertainment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Gaia. If investors know Gaia will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Gaia listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.88) | Earnings Share (0.20) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.134 | Return On Assets |
The market value of Gaia Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Gaia that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Gaia's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Gaia's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Gaia's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Gaia's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Gaia's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Gaia is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Gaia's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.