Townsquare Media Stock Price Prediction
| TSQ Stock | USD 5.49 0.50 8.35% |
Momentum 54
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.767 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.08 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.34 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.69 | Wall Street Target Price 13.5 |
Using Townsquare Media hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Townsquare Media from the perspective of Townsquare Media response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Townsquare Media using Townsquare Media's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Townsquare using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Townsquare Media's stock price.
Townsquare Media Short Interest
An investor who is long Townsquare Media may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Townsquare Media and may potentially protect profits, hedge Townsquare Media with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 6.53 | Short Percent 0.0077 | Short Ratio 1.5 | Shares Short Prior Month 102 K | 50 Day MA 5.194 |
Townsquare Media Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Townsquare Media's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Townsquare. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Townsquare can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Townsquare Media. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Townsquare Media's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Townsquare Media.
Townsquare Media Implied Volatility | 1.55 |
Townsquare Media's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Townsquare Media stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Townsquare Media's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Townsquare Media stock will not fluctuate a lot when Townsquare Media's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Townsquare Media to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Townsquare because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Townsquare Media after-hype prediction price | USD 6.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Townsquare | Build AI portfolio with Townsquare Stock |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Townsquare Media's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Townsquare Media After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Townsquare Media at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Townsquare Media or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Townsquare Media, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Townsquare Media Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Townsquare Media's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Townsquare Media's historical news coverage. Townsquare Media's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 2.69 and 9.31, respectively. We have considered Townsquare Media's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Townsquare Media is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Townsquare Media is based on 3 months time horizon.
Townsquare Media Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Townsquare Media is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Townsquare Media backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Townsquare Media, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.05 | 3.31 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 9 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
5.49 | 6.00 | 0.17 |
|
Townsquare Media Hype Timeline
On the 26th of January Townsquare Media is traded for 5.49. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Townsquare is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 6.0 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price gain on the next news is projected to be 0.17%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.05%. The volatility of related hype on Townsquare Media is about 1982.04%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 5.48. The company reported the last year's revenue of 450.98 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (10.93 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 103.54 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Townsquare Media Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Townsquare Media Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Townsquare Media's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Townsquare Media's future price movements. Getting to know how Townsquare Media's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Townsquare Media may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CDLX | Cardlytics | (0.11) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 10.71 | (9.43) | 36.22 | |
| XNET | Xunlei Ltd Adr | (0.78) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 4.32 | (5.27) | 15.16 | |
| TZOO | Travelzoo | (0.14) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.27) | 3.95 | (3.62) | 20.06 | |
| MCHX | Marchex | (0.03) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 2.60 | (3.51) | 13.32 | |
| ILLR | Triller Group | (0.02) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 16.67 | (40.32) | 109.86 | |
| IZEA | IZEA Inc | (0.09) | 13 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 4.58 | (4.35) | 11.69 | |
| FNGR | FingerMotion | 0.02 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 9.86 | (6.82) | 28.83 | |
| SEAT | Vivid Seats | (0.17) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 6.34 | (10.82) | 22.35 | |
| WIMI | WiMi Hologram Cloud | (0.26) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 5.15 | (5.94) | 18.66 | |
| FLNT | Fluent Inc | (0.09) | 9 per month | 3.21 | 0.16 | 10.98 | (5.51) | 26.93 |
Townsquare Media Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Townsquare price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Townsquare using various technical indicators. When you analyze Townsquare charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Townsquare Media Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Townsquare Media stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Townsquare Media, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Townsquare Media based on analysis of Townsquare Media hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Townsquare Media's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Townsquare Media's related companies. | 2022 | 2024 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0528 | 0.0868 | 0.0401 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.27 | 0.31 | 0.4 |
Pair Trading with Townsquare Media
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Townsquare Media position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Townsquare Media will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving against Townsquare Stock
| 0.61 | SBGI | Sinclair Broadcast | PairCorr |
| 0.48 | EVC | Entravision Communications | PairCorr |
| 0.36 | FOXA | Fox Corp Class | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Townsquare Media could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Townsquare Media when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Townsquare Media - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Townsquare Media to buy it.
The correlation of Townsquare Media is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Townsquare Media moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Townsquare Media moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Townsquare Media can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Additional Tools for Townsquare Stock Analysis
When running Townsquare Media's price analysis, check to measure Townsquare Media's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Townsquare Media is operating at the current time. Most of Townsquare Media's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Townsquare Media's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Townsquare Media's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Townsquare Media to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.