Gladstone Investment Stock Forward View
| GAINZ Stock | USD 24.13 0.02 0.08% |
Naive Prediction is applied to Gladstone Investment's daily closing prices, and the resulting forecast is presented with accuracy metrics. Wide deviation between fitted and observed values suggests the model's assumptions may not match current market conditions. These values update automatically with each new closing price. The Naive Prediction model projects Gladstone Investment at 24.18 for the next trading day, above the most recent closing price. This Naive Prediction output is provided as analytical reference and does not constitute a trading recommendation.
Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 30th of April
Over a 90-day horizon, the Naive Prediction model forecasts Gladstone Investment at 24.18 for the next trading day, with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.002 , and sum of absolute errors of 2.84 .This represents a very tight forecast — the model closely tracks Gladstone Investment's recent price behavior. This output is intended for short-term analytical reference.
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Gladstone Investment | Gladstone Investment Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
This forecast for Gladstone Investment frames the expected trading range using downside and upside bounds rather than a single point target. The model places downside around 23.84 and upside around 24.52 for the next session. The narrow range indicates limited short-term dispersion.
Model Predictive Factors
The table below summarizes the Naive Prediction model's error metrics for Gladstone Investment stock. Lower MAD and MAPE values indicate tighter forecast accuracy. AIC measures relative model quality — lower values indicate less information loss and a better-fitting model. A large Bias suggests systematic over- or under-prediction.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 112.4965 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0465 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.002 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 2.8382 |
Other Forecasting Options for Gladstone Investment
Gladstone Investment's daily price returns decompose into trend, seasonal, and residual components. Divergence between short-term and long-term averages in Gladstone often signals an upcoming reversal or acceleration. Gap analysis of Gladstone Stock data examines overnight jumps between Gladstone Investment's closing and opening prices.Gladstone Investment Related Equities
Sizing up Gladstone Investment against these stocks within the Financials space shows how it compares on key financial measures. Profit comparisons show whether Gladstone Investment earns above or below average returns next to its peers. Falling behind peers on key ratios may signal headwinds or execution issues worth looking into. These checks provide a starting point for deeper study of Gladstone Investment's strengths and weak spots.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Gladstone Investment Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators for Gladstone Investment stock provide a framework for assessing security responsiveness. A rising Accumulation/Distribution line alongside rising price confirms institutional buying interest in Gladstone Investment. Median and Typical Price smooth out intraday extremes, providing a cleaner reference level for evaluating Gladstone Investment sessions.
Gladstone Investment Risk Indicators
Assessing Gladstone Investment's risk indicators is a structured way to evaluate the risk-return trade-off for gladstone stock. The level of risk embedded in Gladstone Investment's feeds directly into exposure calibration. Comparing Gladstone Investment's downside variance to total variance reveals whether the risk profile is skewed toward losses.
| Mean Deviation | 0.2364 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.2475 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.3381 | |||
| Variance | 0.1143 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.1161 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.0612 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -0.30 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Gladstone Investment Short Properties
Short-interest data for Gladstone Investment reveals whether bearish conviction in the market is gaining traction. This is applicable when the question is whether bearish pressure is starting to shape the market's reaction function.
| Dividend Yield | 0.0531 | |
| Shares Short Prior Month | 4970 |