StealthGas Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| GASS Stock | USD 7.78 0.15 1.97% |
StealthGas Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
The value of relative strength index of StealthGas' stock price is slightly above 64. This usually indicates that the stock is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling StealthGas, making its price go up or down. Momentum 64
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Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.091 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.37 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.65 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.26 | Wall Street Target Price 10 |
Using StealthGas hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of StealthGas from the perspective of StealthGas response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards StealthGas using StealthGas' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards StealthGas using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of StealthGas' stock price.
StealthGas Implied Volatility | 1.2 |
StealthGas' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of StealthGas stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if StealthGas' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that StealthGas stock will not fluctuate a lot when StealthGas' options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of StealthGas on the next trading day is expected to be 7.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.10 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.28. StealthGas after-hype prediction price | USD 7.65 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 StealthGas Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast StealthGas' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in StealthGas' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for StealthGas stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current StealthGas' open interest, investors have to compare it to StealthGas' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of StealthGas is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in StealthGas. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
StealthGas Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine StealthGas price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for StealthGas using various technical indicators. When you analyze StealthGas charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the StealthGas' financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 2005-06-30 | Previous Quarter 86.3 M | Current Value 69.7 M | Quarterly Volatility 29.3 M |
StealthGas Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 28th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of StealthGas on the next trading day is expected to be 7.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.10, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.28.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict StealthGas Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that StealthGas' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
StealthGas Stock Forecast Pattern
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StealthGas Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting StealthGas' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. StealthGas' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 5.97 and 9.04, respectively. We have considered StealthGas' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of StealthGas stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent StealthGas stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.0092 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.103 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0145 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 6.2812 |
Predictive Modules for StealthGas
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as StealthGas. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of StealthGas' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
StealthGas After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of StealthGas at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in StealthGas or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of StealthGas, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
StealthGas Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting StealthGas' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on StealthGas' historical news coverage. StealthGas' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 6.11 and 9.19, respectively. We have considered StealthGas' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
StealthGas is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of StealthGas is based on 3 months time horizon.
StealthGas Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as StealthGas is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading StealthGas backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with StealthGas, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.27 | 1.54 | 0.05 | 0.02 | 11 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
7.78 | 7.65 | 0.26 |
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StealthGas Hype Timeline
StealthGas is currently traded for 7.78. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. StealthGas is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 7.65 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price appreciation on the next news is projected to be 0.26%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.27%. The volatility of related hype on StealthGas is about 2349.15%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 7.76. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 167.26 M. Net Income was 69.86 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 98.95 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of StealthGas to cross-verify your projections.StealthGas Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to StealthGas' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict StealthGas' future price movements. Getting to know how StealthGas' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how StealthGas may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SLDP | Solid Power | (0.37) | 9 per month | 5.87 | (0.01) | 9.41 | (8.23) | 72.11 | |
| FCEL | FuelCell Energy | (0.01) | 9 per month | 5.33 | 0.04 | 12.26 | (9.07) | 35.51 | |
| DSX | Diana Shipping | (0.06) | 11 per month | 2.00 | 0.13 | 6.51 | (3.41) | 13.41 | |
| BLNK | Blink Charging Co | 0.01 | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 10.45 | (8.33) | 28.28 | |
| SLND | Southland Holdings | 0.06 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 8.20 | (10.22) | 24.86 | |
| KNOP | KNOT Offshore Partners | (0.21) | 9 per month | 1.17 | 0.09 | 4.00 | (2.15) | 12.63 | |
| SHIP | Seanergy Maritime Holdings | (0.14) | 12 per month | 1.42 | 0.13 | 3.95 | (2.71) | 8.64 | |
| PAMT | PAMT P | 0.08 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 6.06 | (6.15) | 17.24 | |
| YDDL | One and One | 0.05 | 11 per month | 5.12 | 0.08 | 13.60 | (8.04) | 42.71 |
Other Forecasting Options for StealthGas
For every potential investor in StealthGas, whether a beginner or expert, StealthGas' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. StealthGas Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in StealthGas. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying StealthGas' price trends.StealthGas Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with StealthGas stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of StealthGas could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing StealthGas by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
StealthGas Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how StealthGas stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading StealthGas shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying StealthGas stock market strength indicators, traders can identify StealthGas entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
StealthGas Risk Indicators
The analysis of StealthGas' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in StealthGas' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting stealthgas stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.09 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.8937 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.52 | |||
| Variance | 2.32 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.64 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.7987 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.31) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for StealthGas
The number of cover stories for StealthGas depends on current market conditions and StealthGas' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that StealthGas is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about StealthGas' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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StealthGas Short Properties
StealthGas' future price predictability will typically decrease when StealthGas' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of StealthGas often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential StealthGas' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. StealthGas' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 35.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 80.7 M |
Additional Tools for StealthGas Stock Analysis
When running StealthGas' price analysis, check to measure StealthGas' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy StealthGas is operating at the current time. Most of StealthGas' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of StealthGas' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move StealthGas' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of StealthGas to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.