Goodbye Kansas Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| GBK Stock | SEK 1.34 0.05 3.60% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Goodbye Kansas Group on the next trading day is expected to be 1.34 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.08. Goodbye Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
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Goodbye Kansas Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 28th of November
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Goodbye Kansas Group on the next trading day is expected to be 1.34 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.08.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Goodbye Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Goodbye Kansas' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Goodbye Kansas Stock Forecast Pattern
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Goodbye Kansas Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Goodbye Kansas' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Goodbye Kansas' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 8.08, respectively. We have considered Goodbye Kansas' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Goodbye Kansas stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Goodbye Kansas stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 111.446 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.01 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.068 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0524 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 4.08 |
Predictive Modules for Goodbye Kansas
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Goodbye Kansas Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Goodbye Kansas
For every potential investor in Goodbye, whether a beginner or expert, Goodbye Kansas' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Goodbye Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Goodbye. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Goodbye Kansas' price trends.Goodbye Kansas Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Goodbye Kansas stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Goodbye Kansas could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Goodbye Kansas by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Goodbye Kansas Group Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Goodbye Kansas' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Goodbye Kansas' current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Goodbye Kansas Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Goodbye Kansas stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Goodbye Kansas shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Goodbye Kansas stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Goodbye Kansas Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Goodbye Kansas Risk Indicators
The analysis of Goodbye Kansas' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Goodbye Kansas' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting goodbye stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 5.23 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 4.85 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 6.67 | |||
| Variance | 44.51 | |||
| Downside Variance | 34.68 | |||
| Semi Variance | 23.55 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (6.45) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Additional Tools for Goodbye Stock Analysis
When running Goodbye Kansas' price analysis, check to measure Goodbye Kansas' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Goodbye Kansas is operating at the current time. Most of Goodbye Kansas' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Goodbye Kansas' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Goodbye Kansas' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Goodbye Kansas to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.