Gannett Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| GCIDelisted Stock | USD 2.07 0.01 0.49% |
Gannett Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Gannett's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 4th of February 2026 the value of rsi of Gannett's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 12
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Gannett hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Gannett Co from the perspective of Gannett response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Gannett Co on the next trading day is expected to be 2.07 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.66. Gannett after-hype prediction price | USD 2.08 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as delisted stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Gannett |
Gannett Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Gannett price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Gannett using various technical indicators. When you analyze Gannett charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Gannett Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 5th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Gannett Co on the next trading day is expected to be 2.07 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06, mean absolute percentage error of 0.11, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.66.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Gannett Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Gannett's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Gannett Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Gannett | Gannett Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Gannett Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Gannett's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Gannett's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 9.35, respectively. We have considered Gannett's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Gannett stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Gannett stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.0889 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0503 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.061 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0262 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 3.66 |
Predictive Modules for Gannett
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gannett. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Gannett's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Gannett After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Gannett at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Gannett or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Gannett, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Gannett Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Gannett's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Gannett's historical news coverage. Gannett's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.10 and 9.30, respectively. We have considered Gannett's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Gannett is dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Gannett is based on 3 months time horizon.
Gannett Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Gannett is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Gannett backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Delisted Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Gannett, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.07 | 7.28 | 0.01 | 0.12 | 8 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
2.07 | 2.08 | 0.48 |
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Gannett Hype Timeline
On the 4th of February Gannett is traded for 2.07. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.12. Gannett is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 2.08 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.48%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -1.07%. The volatility of related hype on Gannett is about 6740.74%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.95. The company reported the last year's revenue of 2.51 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (26.39 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 894.33 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Gannett to cross-verify your projections.Gannett Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Gannett's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Gannett's future price movements. Getting to know how Gannett's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Gannett may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SCHL | Scholastic | 1.43 | 10 per month | 1.91 | 0.14 | 3.58 | (3.19) | 9.73 | |
| SSTK | Shutterstock | 0.63 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 4.72 | (4.09) | 11.66 | |
| ATHM | Autohome | (0.17) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 2.84 | (3.43) | 7.71 | |
| DLX | Deluxe | 0.1 | 7 per month | 1.15 | 0.21 | 4.35 | (2.39) | 18.48 | |
| CABO | Cable One | (3.05) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 7.73 | (7.60) | 17.97 | |
| EVER | EverQuote Class A | 0.27 | 10 per month | 3.58 | (0.01) | 4.31 | (3.88) | 14.16 | |
| GETY | Getty Images Holdings | (0.01) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 5.51 | (7.35) | 18.86 | |
| ASST | Strive Asset Management | (0.18) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 15.79 | (9.20) | 31.96 | |
| NXDR | NXDR | (0.02) | 10 per month | 3.75 | 0.01 | 8.06 | (5.73) | 40.31 | |
| SMWB | SimilarWeb | (0.08) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.28) | 3.90 | (6.63) | 15.47 |
Other Forecasting Options for Gannett
For every potential investor in Gannett, whether a beginner or expert, Gannett's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Gannett Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Gannett. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Gannett's price trends.Gannett Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Gannett stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Gannett could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Gannett by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Gannett Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Gannett stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Gannett shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Gannett stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Gannett Co entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Gannett Risk Indicators
The analysis of Gannett's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Gannett's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting gannett stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.12 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 7.87 | |||
| Variance | 61.92 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Gannett
The number of cover stories for Gannett depends on current market conditions and Gannett's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Gannett is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Gannett's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Gannett Short Properties
Gannett's future price predictability will typically decrease when Gannett's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Gannett Co often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Gannett's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Gannett's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 142.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 106.3 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Gannett to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Stock Screener module to find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook..
Other Consideration for investing in Gannett Stock
If you are still planning to invest in Gannett check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Gannett's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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