Deluxe Stock Price Prediction
| DLX Stock | USD 18.92 0.29 1.56% |
Momentum 51
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.17) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.77 | EPS Estimate Current Year 3.315 | EPS Estimate Next Year 3.615 | Wall Street Target Price 29 |
Using Deluxe hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Deluxe from the perspective of Deluxe response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Deluxe using Deluxe's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Deluxe using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Deluxe's stock price.
Deluxe Implied Volatility | 0.85 |
Deluxe's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Deluxe stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Deluxe's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Deluxe stock will not fluctuate a lot when Deluxe's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Deluxe to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Deluxe because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Deluxe after-hype prediction price | USD 18.08 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Deluxe contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Deluxe will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0531% per day over the life of the 2025-04-17 option contract. With Deluxe trading at USD 18.92, that is roughly USD 0.0101 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Deluxe's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Deluxe options at the current volatility level of 0.85%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Deluxe |
Deluxe After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Deluxe at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Deluxe or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Deluxe, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Deluxe Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Deluxe's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Deluxe's historical news coverage. Deluxe's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 15.76 and 20.40, respectively. We have considered Deluxe's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Deluxe is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Deluxe is based on 3 months time horizon.
Deluxe Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Deluxe is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Deluxe backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Deluxe, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.30 | 2.30 | 0.82 | 0.01 | 9 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
18.92 | 18.08 | 4.44 |
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Deluxe Hype Timeline
On the 16th of February 2025 Deluxe is traded for 18.92. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.82, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Deluxe is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 18.08. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 84.56%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -4.44%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.3%. The volatility of related hype on Deluxe is about 9200.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 18.91. About 89.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.35. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Deluxe has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.47. The entity last dividend was issued on the 18th of February 2025. The firm had 10000:7995 split on the 2nd of January 2001. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Deluxe Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Deluxe Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Deluxe's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Deluxe's future price movements. Getting to know how Deluxe's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Deluxe may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CRTO | Criteo Sa | (0.38) | 7 per month | 1.60 | 0.12 | 3.92 | (3.08) | 20.62 | |
| EEX | Emerald Expositions Events | (0.01) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.01 | (3.36) | 8.40 | |
| MCHX | Marchex | (0.01) | 6 per month | 2.92 | 0.06 | 6.86 | (3.98) | 24.10 | |
| IAS | Integral Ad Science | 0.03 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 3.22 | (4.02) | 16.34 | |
| CMPR | Cimpress NV | 1.99 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.24) | 3.45 | (5.25) | 9.93 | |
| CTV | Innovid Corp | 0.01 | 8 per month | 1.18 | 0.09 | 1.33 | (4.81) | 88.33 | |
| OMC | Omnicom Group | (1.27) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 1.92 | (2.43) | 13.14 | |
| WPP | WPP PLC ADR | (0.25) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 2.13 | (2.71) | 7.61 | |
| ADTH | AdTheorent Holding | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| TSQ | Townsquare Media | (0.36) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 4.42 | (3.12) | 9.99 |
Deluxe Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Deluxe price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Deluxe using various technical indicators. When you analyze Deluxe charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Deluxe Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Deluxe stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Deluxe, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Deluxe based on analysis of Deluxe hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Deluxe's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Deluxe's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0721 | 0.0571 | 0.0537 | 0.0482 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.33 | 0.43 | 0.48 | 0.45 |
Story Coverage note for Deluxe
The number of cover stories for Deluxe depends on current market conditions and Deluxe's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Deluxe is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Deluxe's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Deluxe Short Properties
Deluxe's future price predictability will typically decrease when Deluxe's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Deluxe often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Deluxe's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Deluxe's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 44.7 M |
Additional Tools for Deluxe Stock Analysis
When running Deluxe's price analysis, check to measure Deluxe's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Deluxe is operating at the current time. Most of Deluxe's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Deluxe's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Deluxe's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Deluxe to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.