GigaCloud Technology Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| GCT Stock | USD 40.51 0.87 2.19% |
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of GigaCloud Technology Class on the next trading day is expected to be 40.51 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.06 and the sum of the absolute errors of 62.55. GigaCloud Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of GigaCloud Technology's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.01 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.78 | EPS Estimate Current Year 3.695 | EPS Estimate Next Year 4.005 | Wall Street Target Price 37.25 |
Using GigaCloud Technology hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of GigaCloud Technology Class from the perspective of GigaCloud Technology response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards GigaCloud Technology using GigaCloud Technology's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards GigaCloud using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of GigaCloud Technology's stock price.
GigaCloud Technology Short Interest
An investor who is long GigaCloud Technology may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about GigaCloud Technology and may potentially protect profits, hedge GigaCloud Technology with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 26.3378 | Short Percent 0.0828 | Short Ratio 4.62 | Shares Short Prior Month 2.6 M | 50 Day MA 38.0739 |
GigaCloud Technology Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to GigaCloud Technology's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in GigaCloud. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding GigaCloud can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around GigaCloud Technology Class. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
GigaCloud Technology Implied Volatility | 0.81 |
GigaCloud Technology's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of GigaCloud Technology Class stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if GigaCloud Technology's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that GigaCloud Technology stock will not fluctuate a lot when GigaCloud Technology's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of GigaCloud Technology Class on the next trading day is expected to be 40.51 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.06 and the sum of the absolute errors of 62.55. GigaCloud Technology after-hype prediction price | USD 40.26 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current GigaCloud contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that GigaCloud Technology Class will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0506% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With GigaCloud Technology trading at USD 40.51, that is roughly USD 0.0205 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating GigaCloud Technology's daily price movement you should consider acquiring GigaCloud Technology Class options at the current volatility level of 0.81%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 GigaCloud Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast GigaCloud Technology's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in GigaCloud Technology's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for GigaCloud Technology stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current GigaCloud Technology's open interest, investors have to compare it to GigaCloud Technology's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of GigaCloud Technology is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in GigaCloud. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
GigaCloud Technology Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine GigaCloud price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for GigaCloud using various technical indicators. When you analyze GigaCloud charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
GigaCloud Technology Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of GigaCloud Technology Class on the next trading day is expected to be 40.51 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.06, mean absolute percentage error of 2.38, and the sum of the absolute errors of 62.55.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict GigaCloud Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that GigaCloud Technology's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
GigaCloud Technology Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest GigaCloud Technology | GigaCloud Technology Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
GigaCloud Technology Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting GigaCloud Technology's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. GigaCloud Technology's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 35.57 and 45.45, respectively. We have considered GigaCloud Technology's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of GigaCloud Technology stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent GigaCloud Technology stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.2998 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.296 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.0601 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0298 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 62.545 |
Predictive Modules for GigaCloud Technology
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as GigaCloud Technology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of GigaCloud Technology's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
GigaCloud Technology After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of GigaCloud Technology at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in GigaCloud Technology or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of GigaCloud Technology, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
GigaCloud Technology Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting GigaCloud Technology's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on GigaCloud Technology's historical news coverage. GigaCloud Technology's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 35.32 and 45.20, respectively. We have considered GigaCloud Technology's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
GigaCloud Technology is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of GigaCloud Technology is based on 3 months time horizon.
GigaCloud Technology Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as GigaCloud Technology is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading GigaCloud Technology backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with GigaCloud Technology, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.68 | 4.94 | 0.25 | 0.24 | 11 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
40.51 | 40.26 | 0.62 |
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GigaCloud Technology Hype Timeline
On the 23rd of January GigaCloud Technology is traded for 40.51. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.25, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.24. GigaCloud is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 40.26. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.62%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.68%. The volatility of related hype on GigaCloud Technology is about 1419.54%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 40.27. About 75.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of GigaCloud Technology was currently reported as 12.28. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.37. GigaCloud Technology had not issued any dividends in recent years. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of GigaCloud Technology to cross-verify your projections.GigaCloud Technology Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to GigaCloud Technology's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict GigaCloud Technology's future price movements. Getting to know how GigaCloud Technology's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how GigaCloud Technology may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| RZLV | Rezolve AI Limited | 0.19 | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 14.04 | (9.73) | 51.01 | |
| RDWR | Radware | (0.39) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.14 | (3.00) | 7.17 | |
| YEXT | Yext Inc | 0.22 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 2.04 | (2.09) | 8.06 | |
| ARQQ | Arqit Quantum | 1.56 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 10.14 | (9.81) | 25.37 | |
| TIXT | TELUS International | 0.18 | 20 per month | 0.92 | 0.05 | 2.41 | (1.78) | 17.91 | |
| HKD | AMTD Digital | (0.02) | 10 per month | 5.21 | 0.01 | 5.51 | (8.72) | 93.20 | |
| YALA | Yalla Group | (0.26) | 9 per month | 2.30 | (0.02) | 3.40 | (3.20) | 14.49 | |
| EXOD | Exodus Movement | 0.63 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 6.42 | (8.84) | 32.74 | |
| SUPX | Super X AI | (5.26) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.25) | 11.44 | (16.32) | 44.17 | |
| UPBD | Upbound Group | (0.33) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 4.61 | (4.18) | 19.09 |
Other Forecasting Options for GigaCloud Technology
For every potential investor in GigaCloud, whether a beginner or expert, GigaCloud Technology's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. GigaCloud Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in GigaCloud. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying GigaCloud Technology's price trends.GigaCloud Technology Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with GigaCloud Technology stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of GigaCloud Technology could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing GigaCloud Technology by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
GigaCloud Technology Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how GigaCloud Technology stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading GigaCloud Technology shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying GigaCloud Technology stock market strength indicators, traders can identify GigaCloud Technology Class entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
GigaCloud Technology Risk Indicators
The analysis of GigaCloud Technology's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in GigaCloud Technology's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting gigacloud stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.67 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.52 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.77 | |||
| Variance | 22.74 | |||
| Downside Variance | 9.64 | |||
| Semi Variance | 6.33 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.04) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for GigaCloud Technology
The number of cover stories for GigaCloud Technology depends on current market conditions and GigaCloud Technology's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that GigaCloud Technology is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about GigaCloud Technology's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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GigaCloud Technology Short Properties
GigaCloud Technology's future price predictability will typically decrease when GigaCloud Technology's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of GigaCloud Technology Class often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential GigaCloud Technology's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. GigaCloud Technology's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 41.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 302.4 M |
Additional Tools for GigaCloud Stock Analysis
When running GigaCloud Technology's price analysis, check to measure GigaCloud Technology's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy GigaCloud Technology is operating at the current time. Most of GigaCloud Technology's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of GigaCloud Technology's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move GigaCloud Technology's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of GigaCloud Technology to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.