Amtd Digital Stock Price Patterns

HKD Stock  USD 1.67  0.01  0.60%   
The relative strength indicator of AMTD Digital's stock price is about 62. This usually indicates that the stock is rather overbought by investors at the present time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling AMTD, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 62

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of AMTD Digital's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of AMTD Digital and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from AMTD Digital's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with AMTD Digital, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting AMTD Digital's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
1.696
Quarterly Revenue Growth
10.859
Using AMTD Digital hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of AMTD Digital from the perspective of AMTD Digital response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in AMTD Digital to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying AMTD because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

AMTD Digital after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 1.66  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out AMTD Digital Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade AMTD Stock refer to our How to Trade AMTD Stock guide.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.071.314.43
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.041.814.93
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.191.603.00
Details

AMTD Digital After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of AMTD Digital at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in AMTD Digital or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of AMTD Digital, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

AMTD Digital Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting AMTD Digital's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on AMTD Digital's historical news coverage. AMTD Digital's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.08 and 4.78, respectively. We have considered AMTD Digital's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
1.67
1.66
After-hype Price
4.78
Upside
AMTD Digital is dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of AMTD Digital is based on 3 months time horizon.

AMTD Digital Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as AMTD Digital is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading AMTD Digital backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with AMTD Digital, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.23 
3.10
 0.00  
  1.26 
9 Events / Month
5 Events / Month
In about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
1.67
1.66
0.00 
15,500  
Notes

AMTD Digital Hype Timeline

On the 23rd of February AMTD Digital is traded for 1.67. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -1.26. AMTD is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.23%. %. The volatility of related hype on AMTD Digital is about 56.66%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.41. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days.
Check out AMTD Digital Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade AMTD Stock refer to our How to Trade AMTD Stock guide.

AMTD Digital Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to AMTD Digital's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict AMTD Digital's future price movements. Getting to know how AMTD Digital's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how AMTD Digital may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

AMTD Digital Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine AMTD price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for AMTD using various technical indicators. When you analyze AMTD charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About AMTD Digital Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of AMTD Digital stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as AMTD Digital, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of AMTD Digital based on analysis of AMTD Digital hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to AMTD Digital's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to AMTD Digital's related companies.
 2022 2023 2025 2026 (projected)
Days Sales Outstanding1.6K144.55166.23157.92
PTB Ratio3.7943.249.6857.55

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Complementary Tools for AMTD Stock analysis

When running AMTD Digital's price analysis, check to measure AMTD Digital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AMTD Digital is operating at the current time. Most of AMTD Digital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AMTD Digital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AMTD Digital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AMTD Digital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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