Golden Entertainment Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| GDEN Stock | USD 27.59 0.26 0.95% |
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Golden Entertainment on the next trading day is expected to be 27.46 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.54 and the sum of the absolute errors of 32.02. Golden Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Golden Entertainment's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Golden Entertainment's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Golden Entertainment fundamentals over time.
As of today the relative strength indicator of Golden Entertainment's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 7.5 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.24 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.37 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.865 | Wall Street Target Price 30.5 |
Using Golden Entertainment hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Golden Entertainment from the perspective of Golden Entertainment response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Golden Entertainment using Golden Entertainment's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Golden using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Golden Entertainment's stock price.
Golden Entertainment Short Interest
An investor who is long Golden Entertainment may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Golden Entertainment and may potentially protect profits, hedge Golden Entertainment with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 26.6284 | Short Percent 0.0421 | Short Ratio 2.45 | Shares Short Prior Month 708 K | 50 Day MA 28.2662 |
Golden Entertainment Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Golden Entertainment's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Golden. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Golden can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Golden Entertainment. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Golden Entertainment Implied Volatility | 0.88 |
Golden Entertainment's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Golden Entertainment stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Golden Entertainment's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Golden Entertainment stock will not fluctuate a lot when Golden Entertainment's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Golden Entertainment on the next trading day is expected to be 27.46 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.54 and the sum of the absolute errors of 32.02. Golden Entertainment after-hype prediction price | USD 27.53 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Golden Entertainment to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Golden contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Golden Entertainment will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.055% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Golden Entertainment trading at USD 27.59, that is roughly USD 0.0152 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Golden Entertainment's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Golden Entertainment options at the current volatility level of 0.88%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Golden Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Golden Entertainment's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Golden Entertainment's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Golden Entertainment stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Golden Entertainment's open interest, investors have to compare it to Golden Entertainment's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Golden Entertainment is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Golden. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Golden Entertainment Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Golden price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Golden using various technical indicators. When you analyze Golden charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Golden Entertainment Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Golden Entertainment on the next trading day is expected to be 27.46 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.54, mean absolute percentage error of 1.56, and the sum of the absolute errors of 32.02.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Golden Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Golden Entertainment's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Golden Entertainment Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Golden Entertainment | Golden Entertainment Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Golden Entertainment Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Golden Entertainment's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Golden Entertainment's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 22.74 and 32.18, respectively. We have considered Golden Entertainment's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Golden Entertainment stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Golden Entertainment stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.8792 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.1313 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.5428 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0202 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 32.025 |
Predictive Modules for Golden Entertainment
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Golden Entertainment. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Golden Entertainment's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Golden Entertainment After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Golden Entertainment at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Golden Entertainment or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Golden Entertainment, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Golden Entertainment Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Golden Entertainment's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Golden Entertainment's historical news coverage. Golden Entertainment's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 22.77 and 32.29, respectively. We have considered Golden Entertainment's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Golden Entertainment is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Golden Entertainment is based on 3 months time horizon.
Golden Entertainment Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Golden Entertainment is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Golden Entertainment backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Golden Entertainment, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.46 | 4.72 | 0.20 | 0.03 | 9 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
27.59 | 27.53 | 0.88 |
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Golden Entertainment Hype Timeline
Golden Entertainment is currently traded for 27.59. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.2, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.03. Golden is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 27.53 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 0.88%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.46%. The volatility of related hype on Golden Entertainment is about 7612.9%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 27.62. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 666.82 M. Net Income was 50.73 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 347.12 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Golden Entertainment to cross-verify your projections.Golden Entertainment Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Golden Entertainment's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Golden Entertainment's future price movements. Getting to know how Golden Entertainment's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Golden Entertainment may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BALY | Ballys Corp | 0.90 | 10 per month | 3.59 | 0.08 | 8.41 | (5.51) | 25.70 | |
| MBUU | Malibu Boats | (1.15) | 10 per month | 3.12 | 0.04 | 4.28 | (4.11) | 17.70 | |
| CPS | Cooper Stnd | (1.34) | 12 per month | 3.93 | (0.01) | 6.66 | (5.11) | 26.95 | |
| MYE | Myers Industries | (0.10) | 8 per month | 0.87 | 0.17 | 2.81 | (1.75) | 7.31 | |
| HZO | MarineMax | (0.23) | 11 per month | 2.83 | 0.04 | 6.76 | (4.50) | 16.01 | |
| OXM | Oxford Industries | 1.58 | 10 per month | 5.11 | 0.01 | 6.99 | (5.59) | 30.64 | |
| SFIX | Stitch Fix | 0.23 | 12 per month | 3.04 | 0.09 | 6.80 | (5.27) | 16.99 | |
| SCVL | Shoe Carnival | 0.72 | 10 per month | 2.96 | (0.03) | 4.98 | (4.71) | 11.78 | |
| LEGH | Legacy Housing Corp | (0.22) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 2.90 | (3.99) | 10.51 | |
| PBPB | Potbelly Co | 0.23 | 19 per month | 1.10 | 0.1 | 2.91 | (3.50) | 31.44 |
Other Forecasting Options for Golden Entertainment
For every potential investor in Golden, whether a beginner or expert, Golden Entertainment's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Golden Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Golden. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Golden Entertainment's price trends.Golden Entertainment Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Golden Entertainment stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Golden Entertainment could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Golden Entertainment by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Golden Entertainment Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Golden Entertainment stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Golden Entertainment shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Golden Entertainment stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Golden Entertainment entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 23425.94 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.3714 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | |||
| Day Median Price | 27.38 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 27.45 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.34 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.26 |
Golden Entertainment Risk Indicators
The analysis of Golden Entertainment's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Golden Entertainment's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting golden stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.78 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.47 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.57 | |||
| Variance | 20.85 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.04 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.15 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.46) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Golden Entertainment
The number of cover stories for Golden Entertainment depends on current market conditions and Golden Entertainment's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Golden Entertainment is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Golden Entertainment's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Golden Entertainment Short Properties
Golden Entertainment's future price predictability will typically decrease when Golden Entertainment's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Golden Entertainment often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Golden Entertainment's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Golden Entertainment's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 29.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 57.7 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Golden Entertainment to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Golden Stock, please use our How to Invest in Golden Entertainment guide.You can also try the Portfolio File Import module to quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format.
Is Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Golden Entertainment. If investors know Golden will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Golden Entertainment listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 7.5 | Dividend Share 1 | Earnings Share 0.22 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.04) |
The market value of Golden Entertainment is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Golden that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Golden Entertainment's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Golden Entertainment's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Golden Entertainment's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Golden Entertainment's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Golden Entertainment's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Golden Entertainment is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Golden Entertainment's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.