YieldMax Gold Etf Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing
| GDXY Etf | 18.15 0.30 1.68% |
YieldMax Etf outlook is based on your current time horizon.
The relative strength momentum indicator of YieldMax Gold's share price is above 70 at this time. This usually indicates that the etf is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling YieldMax, making its price go up or down. Momentum 72
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using YieldMax Gold hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of YieldMax Gold Miners from the perspective of YieldMax Gold response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards YieldMax Gold using YieldMax Gold's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards YieldMax using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of YieldMax Gold's stock price.
YieldMax Gold Implied Volatility | 0.71 |
YieldMax Gold's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of YieldMax Gold Miners stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if YieldMax Gold's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that YieldMax Gold stock will not fluctuate a lot when YieldMax Gold's options are near their expiration.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of YieldMax Gold Miners on the next trading day is expected to be 18.21 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.22 and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.79. YieldMax Gold after-hype prediction price | USD 18.07 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current YieldMax contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that YieldMax Gold Miners will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0444% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With YieldMax Gold trading at USD 18.15, that is roughly USD 0.008054 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating YieldMax Gold's daily price movement you should consider acquiring YieldMax Gold Miners options at the current volatility level of 0.71%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 YieldMax Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast YieldMax Gold's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in YieldMax Gold's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for YieldMax Gold stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current YieldMax Gold's open interest, investors have to compare it to YieldMax Gold's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of YieldMax Gold is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in YieldMax. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
YieldMax Gold Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine YieldMax price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for YieldMax using various technical indicators. When you analyze YieldMax charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
YieldMax Gold Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 28th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of YieldMax Gold Miners on the next trading day is expected to be 18.21 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.22, mean absolute percentage error of 0.08, and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.79.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict YieldMax Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that YieldMax Gold's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
YieldMax Gold Etf Forecast Pattern
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YieldMax Gold Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting YieldMax Gold's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. YieldMax Gold's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 16.35 and 20.07, respectively. We have considered YieldMax Gold's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of YieldMax Gold etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent YieldMax Gold etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0181 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2168 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0143 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 12.79 |
Predictive Modules for YieldMax Gold
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as YieldMax Gold Miners. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of YieldMax Gold's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
YieldMax Gold After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of YieldMax Gold at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in YieldMax Gold or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of YieldMax Gold, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
YieldMax Gold Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting YieldMax Gold's etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on YieldMax Gold's historical news coverage. YieldMax Gold's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 16.21 and 19.93, respectively. We have considered YieldMax Gold's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
YieldMax Gold is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of YieldMax Gold Miners is based on 3 months time horizon.
YieldMax Gold Etf Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as YieldMax Gold is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading YieldMax Gold backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with YieldMax Gold, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.51 | 1.86 | 0.08 | 0.03 | 4 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 4 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
18.15 | 18.07 | 0.44 |
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YieldMax Gold Hype Timeline
YieldMax Gold Miners is currently traded for 18.15. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.08, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.03. YieldMax is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 18.07. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.44%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.51%. The volatility of related hype on YieldMax Gold is about 3049.18%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 18.12. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 4 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of YieldMax Gold to cross-verify your projections.YieldMax Gold Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to YieldMax Gold's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict YieldMax Gold's future price movements. Getting to know how YieldMax Gold's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how YieldMax Gold may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| QUVU | Hartford Quality Value | 0.13 | 2 per month | 0.50 | 0.02 | 1.15 | (1.07) | 3.38 | |
| SPYT | Tidal Trust II | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.66 | (0.08) | 1.10 | (1.03) | 3.37 | |
| CPLS | AB Core Plus | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.46) | 0.31 | (0.31) | 0.82 | |
| PABD | iShares Paris Aligned Climate | 0.01 | 1 per month | 0.67 | 0.03 | 1.31 | (1.35) | 3.10 | |
| SPTB | SPDR Series Trust | 0.06 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.49) | 0.20 | (0.30) | 0.85 | |
| KEAT | Keating Active ETF | 0.06 | 1 per month | 0.43 | 0.12 | 0.99 | (0.94) | 2.18 | |
| IBIK | iShares Trust | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.37) | 0.31 | (0.35) | 0.97 | |
| SMCO | Hilton Small MidCap Opportunity | 0.27 | 3 per month | 1.02 | 0.0008 | 1.56 | (1.66) | 4.18 | |
| CGV | Two Roads Shared | 0.03 | 1 per month | 0.33 | 0.18 | 1.25 | (0.92) | 5.29 | |
| AMZZ | GraniteShares 2x Long | (1.17) | 1 per month | 3.57 | 0.06 | 5.52 | (5.81) | 27.98 |
Other Forecasting Options for YieldMax Gold
For every potential investor in YieldMax, whether a beginner or expert, YieldMax Gold's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. YieldMax Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in YieldMax. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying YieldMax Gold's price trends.YieldMax Gold Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with YieldMax Gold etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of YieldMax Gold could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing YieldMax Gold by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
YieldMax Gold Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how YieldMax Gold etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading YieldMax Gold shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying YieldMax Gold etf market strength indicators, traders can identify YieldMax Gold Miners entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
YieldMax Gold Risk Indicators
The analysis of YieldMax Gold's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in YieldMax Gold's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting yieldmax etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.52 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.08 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.15 | |||
| Variance | 4.62 | |||
| Downside Variance | 6.15 | |||
| Semi Variance | 4.34 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.57) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for YieldMax Gold
The number of cover stories for YieldMax Gold depends on current market conditions and YieldMax Gold's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that YieldMax Gold is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about YieldMax Gold's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of YieldMax Gold to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Equity Search module to search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets.
The market value of YieldMax Gold Miners is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of YieldMax that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of YieldMax Gold's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is YieldMax Gold's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because YieldMax Gold's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect YieldMax Gold's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between YieldMax Gold's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if YieldMax Gold is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, YieldMax Gold's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.