Yieldmax Gold Miners Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Over 16.81

GDXY Etf   16.81  0.08  0.48%   
YieldMax Gold's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on YieldMax Gold Miners. Implied volatility approximates the future value of YieldMax Gold based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in YieldMax Gold Miners over a specific time period. For example, GDXY260220C00017000 is a PUT option contract on YieldMax Gold's common stock with a strick price of 17.0 expiring on 2026-02-20. The contract was not traded in recent days and, as of today, has 54 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.2, and an ask price of $0.75. The implied volatility as of the 28th of December is 54.0. View All YieldMax options

Closest to current price YieldMax long PUT Option Payoff at Expiration

YieldMax Gold's future price is the expected price of YieldMax Gold instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of YieldMax Gold Miners performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out YieldMax Gold Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, YieldMax Gold Correlation, YieldMax Gold Hype Analysis, YieldMax Gold Volatility, YieldMax Gold History as well as YieldMax Gold Performance.
Please specify YieldMax Gold's target price for which you would like YieldMax Gold odds to be computed.

YieldMax Gold Target Price Odds to finish over 16.81

The tendency of YieldMax Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 16.81 90 days 16.81 
about 1.58
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of YieldMax Gold to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 1.58 (This YieldMax Gold Miners probability density function shows the probability of YieldMax Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days YieldMax Gold has a beta of 0.75. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, YieldMax Gold average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding YieldMax Gold Miners will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally YieldMax Gold Miners has an alpha of 0.2102, implying that it can generate a 0.21 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   YieldMax Gold Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for YieldMax Gold

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as YieldMax Gold Miners. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of YieldMax Gold's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.6016.8119.02
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.9215.1317.34
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
15.2717.4719.68
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
13.5015.1516.80
Details

YieldMax Gold Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. YieldMax Gold is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the YieldMax Gold's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold YieldMax Gold Miners, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of YieldMax Gold within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.21
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.75
σ
Overall volatility
0.80
Ir
Information ratio 0.09

YieldMax Gold Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of YieldMax Gold for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for YieldMax Gold Miners can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

YieldMax Gold Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of YieldMax Etf often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential YieldMax Gold's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. YieldMax Gold's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

YieldMax Gold Technical Analysis

YieldMax Gold's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. YieldMax Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of YieldMax Gold Miners. In general, you should focus on analyzing YieldMax Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

YieldMax Gold Predictive Forecast Models

YieldMax Gold's time-series forecasting models is one of many YieldMax Gold's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary YieldMax Gold's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about YieldMax Gold Miners

Checking the ongoing alerts about YieldMax Gold for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for YieldMax Gold Miners help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
When determining whether YieldMax Gold Miners offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of YieldMax Gold's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Yieldmax Gold Miners Etf. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Yieldmax Gold Miners Etf:
Check out YieldMax Gold Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, YieldMax Gold Correlation, YieldMax Gold Hype Analysis, YieldMax Gold Volatility, YieldMax Gold History as well as YieldMax Gold Performance.
You can also try the Money Flow Index module to determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators.
The market value of YieldMax Gold Miners is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of YieldMax that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of YieldMax Gold's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is YieldMax Gold's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because YieldMax Gold's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect YieldMax Gold's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between YieldMax Gold's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if YieldMax Gold is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, YieldMax Gold's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.