GE Aerospace Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| GE Stock | USD 178.70 0.72 0.40% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of GE Aerospace on the next trading day is expected to be 175.73 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.63 and the sum of the absolute errors of 225.21. GE Aerospace Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast GE Aerospace stock prices and determine the direction of GE Aerospace's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of GE Aerospace's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
GE Aerospace |
Open Interest Against 2024-11-22 GE Aerospace Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast GE Aerospace's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in GE Aerospace's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for GE Aerospace stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current GE Aerospace's open interest, investors have to compare it to GE Aerospace's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of GE Aerospace is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in GE Aerospace. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
GE Aerospace Cash Forecast
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the GE Aerospace's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 1985-12-31 | Previous Quarter 12.1 B | Current Value 13.7 B | Quarterly Volatility 41.5 B |
GE Aerospace Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 23rd of November
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of GE Aerospace on the next trading day is expected to be 175.73 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.63, mean absolute percentage error of 17.83, and the sum of the absolute errors of 225.21.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict GE Aerospace Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that GE Aerospace's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
GE Aerospace Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest GE Aerospace | GE Aerospace Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
GE Aerospace Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting GE Aerospace's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. GE Aerospace's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 173.73 and 177.74, respectively. We have considered GE Aerospace's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of GE Aerospace stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent GE Aerospace stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 122.8292 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 3.6325 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0201 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 225.2129 |
Predictive Modules for GE Aerospace
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as GE Aerospace. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of GE Aerospace's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for GE Aerospace
For every potential investor in GE Aerospace, whether a beginner or expert, GE Aerospace's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. GE Aerospace Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in GE Aerospace. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying GE Aerospace's price trends.GE Aerospace Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with GE Aerospace stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of GE Aerospace could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing GE Aerospace by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
GE Aerospace Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of GE Aerospace's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of GE Aerospace's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
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| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
GE Aerospace Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how GE Aerospace stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading GE Aerospace shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying GE Aerospace stock market strength indicators, traders can identify GE Aerospace entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 83501.92 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.2006 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 179.14 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 178.99 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.07) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.72 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 46.93 |
GE Aerospace Risk Indicators
The analysis of GE Aerospace's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in GE Aerospace's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ge aerospace stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.28 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.21 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.96 | |||
| Variance | 3.86 | |||
| Downside Variance | 5.92 | |||
| Semi Variance | 4.87 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.23) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of GE Aerospace to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade GE Aerospace Stock refer to our How to Trade GE Aerospace Stock guide.You can also try the Portfolio Diagnostics module to use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings.
Is Industrial Conglomerates space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of GE Aerospace. If investors know GE Aerospace will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about GE Aerospace listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 6.064 | Dividend Share 0.92 | Earnings Share 5.07 | Revenue Per Share 64.325 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.058 |
The market value of GE Aerospace is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of GE Aerospace that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of GE Aerospace's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is GE Aerospace's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because GE Aerospace's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect GE Aerospace's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between GE Aerospace's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if GE Aerospace is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, GE Aerospace's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.