GE HealthCare Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing

GEHC Stock   78.97  0.19  0.24%   
GEHC Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast GE HealthCare stock prices and determine the direction of GE HealthCare Technologies's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of GE HealthCare's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, the relative strength index (RSI) of GE HealthCare's share price is approaching 46. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling GE HealthCare, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 46

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of GE HealthCare's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with GE HealthCare Technologies, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using GE HealthCare hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of GE HealthCare Technologies from the perspective of GE HealthCare response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of GE HealthCare Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 78.97 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.18 and the sum of the absolute errors of 70.72.

GE HealthCare after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 78.97  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of GE HealthCare to cross-verify your projections.

GE HealthCare Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine GEHC price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for GEHC using various technical indicators. When you analyze GEHC charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
GE HealthCare simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for GE HealthCare Technologies are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as GE HealthCare Techno prices get older.

GE HealthCare Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 2nd of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of GE HealthCare Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 78.97 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.18, mean absolute percentage error of 2.15, and the sum of the absolute errors of 70.72.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict GEHC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that GE HealthCare's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

GE HealthCare Stock Forecast Pattern

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GE HealthCare Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting GE HealthCare's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. GE HealthCare's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 77.17 and 80.77, respectively. We have considered GE HealthCare's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
78.97
78.97
Expected Value
80.77
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of GE HealthCare stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent GE HealthCare stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.0382
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0783
MADMean absolute deviation1.1787
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0146
SAESum of the absolute errors70.72
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting GE HealthCare Technologies forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent GE HealthCare observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for GE HealthCare

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as GE HealthCare Techno. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
77.1778.9780.77
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
64.7066.5086.87
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
76.8082.6488.49
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as GE HealthCare. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against GE HealthCare's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, GE HealthCare's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in GE HealthCare Techno.

GE HealthCare After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of GE HealthCare at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in GE HealthCare or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of GE HealthCare, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

GE HealthCare Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting GE HealthCare's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on GE HealthCare's historical news coverage. GE HealthCare's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 77.17 and 80.77, respectively. We have considered GE HealthCare's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
78.97
78.97
After-hype Price
80.77
Upside
GE HealthCare is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of GE HealthCare Techno is based on 3 months time horizon.

GE HealthCare Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as GE HealthCare is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading GE HealthCare backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with GE HealthCare, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.11 
1.80
 0.00  
  0.04 
0 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
78.97
78.97
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

GE HealthCare Hype Timeline

GE HealthCare Techno is currently traded for 78.97. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.04. GEHC is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.11%. %. The volatility of related hype on GE HealthCare is about 509.92%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 79.01. About 90.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of GE HealthCare was currently reported as 21.94. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.36. GE HealthCare Techno last dividend was issued on the 9th of January 2026. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in a few days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of GE HealthCare to cross-verify your projections.

GE HealthCare Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to GE HealthCare's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict GE HealthCare's future price movements. Getting to know how GE HealthCare's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how GE HealthCare may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
HUMHumana Inc 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.15) 3.79 (6.01) 27.31 
IQVIQVIA Holdings 0.00 0 per month 1.04  0.08  2.57 (1.73) 6.41 
CAHCardinal Health 2.07 7 per month 0.50  0.18  2.69 (1.71) 18.07 
INSMInsmed Inc 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.09) 2.84 (4.15) 20.19 
ALCAlcon AG 0.00 0 per month 0.89  0.08  3.24 (1.54) 6.78 
ONCBeiGene 0.00 0 per month 1.78  0.07  4.39 (3.37) 14.16 
RMDResMed Inc 0.00 0 per month 1.23  0.02  2.11 (2.26) 5.71 
AAgilent Technologies 1.46 5 per month 0.00 (0.11) 2.90 (2.58) 7.85 
MTDMettler Toledo International 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.04) 2.51 (2.37) 7.69 
PHGKoninklijke Philips NV 0.00 0 per month 1.67  0.05  2.53 (1.96) 8.74 

Other Forecasting Options for GE HealthCare

For every potential investor in GEHC, whether a beginner or expert, GE HealthCare's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. GEHC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in GEHC. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying GE HealthCare's price trends.

GE HealthCare Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with GE HealthCare stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of GE HealthCare could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing GE HealthCare by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

GE HealthCare Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how GE HealthCare stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading GE HealthCare shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying GE HealthCare stock market strength indicators, traders can identify GE HealthCare Technologies entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

GE HealthCare Risk Indicators

The analysis of GE HealthCare's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in GE HealthCare's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting gehc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for GE HealthCare

The number of cover stories for GE HealthCare depends on current market conditions and GE HealthCare's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that GE HealthCare is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about GE HealthCare's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

GE HealthCare Short Properties

GE HealthCare's future price predictability will typically decrease when GE HealthCare's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of GE HealthCare Technologies often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential GE HealthCare's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. GE HealthCare's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding459 M
Cash And Short Term Investments2.9 B
When determining whether GE HealthCare Techno offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of GE HealthCare's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Ge Healthcare Technologies Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Ge Healthcare Technologies Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of GE HealthCare to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Bonds Directory module to find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies.
Will Health Care Equipment & Supplies sector continue expanding? Could GEHC diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of GE HealthCare. Market participants price GEHC higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every GE HealthCare data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
The market value of GE HealthCare Techno is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of GEHC that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of GE HealthCare's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is GE HealthCare's true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because GE HealthCare's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect GE HealthCare's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between GE HealthCare's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if GE HealthCare is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Meanwhile, GE HealthCare's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.