Humana Inc Etf Price Patterns
| HUM Etf | USD 195.20 1.47 0.75% |
Momentum 65
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.59) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter (3.62) | EPS Estimate Current Year 17.0923 | EPS Estimate Next Year 12.0369 | Wall Street Target Price 286.625 |
Using Humana hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Humana Inc from the perspective of Humana response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Humana using Humana's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Humana using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Humana's stock price.
Humana Implied Volatility | 0.72 |
Humana's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Humana Inc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Humana's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Humana stock will not fluctuate a lot when Humana's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Humana to buy its etf at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Humana because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell etfs at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Humana after-hype prediction price | USD 195.46 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Humana contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Humana Inc will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.045% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Humana trading at USD 195.2, that is roughly USD 0.0878 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Humana's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Humana Inc options at the current volatility level of 0.72%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Humana Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Humana's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Humana After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Humana at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Humana or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of Humana, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Humana Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Humana's etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Humana's historical news coverage. Humana's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 191.78 and 199.14, respectively. We have considered Humana's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Humana is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Humana Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.
Humana Etf Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as Humana is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Humana backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Humana, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.51 | 3.68 | 0.26 | 0.17 | 10 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
195.20 | 195.46 | 0.13 |
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Humana Hype Timeline
On the 31st of January Humana Inc is traded for 195.20. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.26, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.17. Humana is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 195.46 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 0.13%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.51%. The volatility of related hype on Humana is about 1098.51%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 195.03. The company reported the last year's revenue of 117.76 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 1.21 B with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 18.89 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Humana Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Humana Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Humana's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Humana's future price movements. Getting to know how Humana's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Humana may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| GEHC | GE HealthCare Technologies | (2.35) | 8 per month | 1.84 | (0.02) | 2.88 | (3.08) | 7.77 | |
| RMD | ResMed Inc | 4.42 | 8 per month | 1.31 | (0.05) | 2.11 | (2.26) | 5.71 | |
| IQV | IQVIA Holdings | (2.22) | 8 per month | 0.99 | 0.04 | 2.57 | (1.68) | 6.05 | |
| ALC | Alcon AG | (0.35) | 8 per month | 0.95 | 0.03 | 3.24 | (1.68) | 6.78 | |
| ONC | BeiGene | 0.08 | 12 per month | 1.77 | 0.06 | 4.39 | (3.37) | 14.16 | |
| CNC | Centene Corp | 1.22 | 10 per month | 2.98 | 0.11 | 4.67 | (3.69) | 22.77 | |
| MTD | Mettler Toledo International | 5.56 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 2.66 | (2.37) | 7.69 | |
| HLN | Haleon plc | (0.01) | 6 per month | 1.09 | 0.09 | 2.81 | (1.81) | 6.06 | |
| A | Agilent Technologies | (0.67) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 2.90 | (2.58) | 7.85 | |
| INSM | Insmed Inc | (9.03) | 10 per month | 3.65 | (0.01) | 3.35 | (4.15) | 32.41 |
Humana Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Humana price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Humana using various technical indicators. When you analyze Humana charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Humana Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Humana stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Humana Inc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Humana based on analysis of Humana hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Humana's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Humana's related companies.
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Try AI Portfolio ProphetOther Information on Investing in Humana Etf
Humana financial ratios help investors to determine whether Humana Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Humana with respect to the benefits of owning Humana security.