Gibson Energy Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| GEI Stock | CAD 28.10 0.35 1.26% |
Gibson Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Gibson Energy's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Gibson Energy's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Gibson Energy fundamentals over time.
As of today the value of relative strength index of Gibson Energy's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.15) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.3477 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.2458 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.3789 | Wall Street Target Price 27.5385 |
Using Gibson Energy hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Gibson Energy from the perspective of Gibson Energy response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Gibson Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 28.10 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.28 and the sum of the absolute errors of 16.98. Gibson Energy after-hype prediction price | CAD 28.15 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Gibson |
Gibson Energy Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Gibson price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Gibson using various technical indicators. When you analyze Gibson charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Gibson Energy Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 15th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Gibson Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 28.10 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.28, mean absolute percentage error of 0.12, and the sum of the absolute errors of 16.98.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Gibson Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Gibson Energy's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Gibson Energy Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Gibson Energy | Gibson Energy Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Gibson Energy Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Gibson Energy's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Gibson Energy's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 26.88 and 29.32, respectively. We have considered Gibson Energy's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Gibson Energy stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Gibson Energy stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.1696 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0957 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.283 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.011 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 16.98 |
Predictive Modules for Gibson Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gibson Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Gibson Energy After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Gibson Energy at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Gibson Energy or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Gibson Energy, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Gibson Energy Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Gibson Energy's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Gibson Energy's historical news coverage. Gibson Energy's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 26.93 and 29.37, respectively. We have considered Gibson Energy's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Gibson Energy is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Gibson Energy is based on 3 months time horizon.
Gibson Energy Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Gibson Energy is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Gibson Energy backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Gibson Energy, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.31 | 1.22 | 0.05 | 0.57 | 8 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
28.10 | 28.15 | 0.18 |
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Gibson Energy Hype Timeline
Gibson Energy is currently traded for 28.10on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.57. Gibson is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 28.15 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is estimated to be 0.18%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.31%. The volatility of related hype on Gibson Energy is about 66.92%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 28.67. The company reported the revenue of 11.78 B. Net Income was 152.17 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 398.21 M. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Gibson Energy to cross-verify your projections.Gibson Energy Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Gibson Energy's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Gibson Energy's future price movements. Getting to know how Gibson Energy's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Gibson Energy may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TPZ | Topaz Energy Corp | 0.17 | 2 per month | 1.09 | 0.07 | 2.07 | (1.84) | 5.64 | |
| PEY | Peyto ExplorationDevelopment Corp | 0.20 | 6 per month | 1.48 | 0.14 | 3.52 | (2.36) | 10.43 | |
| ATH | Athabasca Oil Corp | (0.08) | 5 per month | 2.15 | 0.09 | 4.40 | (3.58) | 11.96 | |
| TWM | Tidewater Midstream and | 14.42 | 1 per month | 2.69 | 0.03 | 5.42 | (4.27) | 11.28 | |
| NVA | NuVista Energy | (0.11) | 7 per month | 0.91 | 0.09 | 1.94 | (1.70) | 6.79 | |
| POU | Paramount Resources | 0.35 | 7 per month | 1.98 | 0.03 | 2.63 | (3.18) | 7.94 | |
| TVK | Terravest Capital | 3.48 | 2 per month | 2.60 | 0.05 | 3.61 | (4.95) | 31.53 | |
| DML | Denison Mines Corp | (0.03) | 8 per month | 3.15 | 0.13 | 7.34 | (5.26) | 23.59 | |
| TVE | Tamarack Valley Energy | (0.07) | 8 per month | 2.00 | 0.20 | 3.79 | (3.36) | 10.49 | |
| BTE | Baytex Energy Corp | (0.10) | 9 per month | 2.37 | 0.12 | 4.54 | (4.08) | 20.00 |
Other Forecasting Options for Gibson Energy
For every potential investor in Gibson, whether a beginner or expert, Gibson Energy's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Gibson Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Gibson. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Gibson Energy's price trends.Gibson Energy Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Gibson Energy stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Gibson Energy could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Gibson Energy by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Gibson Energy Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Gibson Energy stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Gibson Energy shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Gibson Energy stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Gibson Energy entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 10228.6 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.5645 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | |||
| Day Median Price | 28.01 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 28.04 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.27 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.35 |
Gibson Energy Risk Indicators
The analysis of Gibson Energy's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Gibson Energy's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting gibson stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.9603 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.9177 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.24 | |||
| Variance | 1.53 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.7 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.8423 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.04) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Gibson Energy
The number of cover stories for Gibson Energy depends on current market conditions and Gibson Energy's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Gibson Energy is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Gibson Energy's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
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Gibson Energy Short Properties
Gibson Energy's future price predictability will typically decrease when Gibson Energy's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Gibson Energy often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Gibson Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Gibson Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 164 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 57.1 M |
Other Information on Investing in Gibson Stock
Gibson Energy financial ratios help investors to determine whether Gibson Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Gibson with respect to the benefits of owning Gibson Energy security.