Genius Sports Stock Forward View - Accumulation Distribution
| GENI Stock | USD 6.19 2.35 27.52% |
Genius Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Genius Sports' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 5th of February 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Genius Sports' share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.12 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.3 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.42 | Wall Street Target Price 15.579 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.07 |
Using Genius Sports hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Genius Sports from the perspective of Genius Sports response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Genius Sports using Genius Sports' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Genius using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Genius Sports' stock price.
Genius Sports Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Genius Sports' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Genius. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Genius Sports stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 10.9224 | Short Percent 0.0766 | Short Ratio 4.59 | Shares Short Prior Month 24.1 M | 50 Day MA 10.2226 |
Genius Relative Strength Index
Genius Sports Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Genius Sports' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Genius. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Genius can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Genius Sports. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Genius Sports' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Genius Sports.
Genius Sports Implied Volatility | 0.94 |
Genius Sports' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Genius Sports stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Genius Sports' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Genius Sports stock will not fluctuate a lot when Genius Sports' options are near their expiration.
Genius Sports after-hype prediction price | USD 6.06 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Genius Sports to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Genius contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Genius Sports will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0588% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Genius Sports trading at USD 6.19, that is roughly USD 0.003637 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Genius Sports' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Genius Sports options at the current volatility level of 0.94%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Genius Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Genius Sports' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Genius Sports' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Genius Sports stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Genius Sports' open interest, investors have to compare it to Genius Sports' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Genius Sports is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Genius. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Genius Sports Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Genius price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Genius using various technical indicators. When you analyze Genius charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Previous Accumulation Distribution | Accumulation Distribution | Trend |
| 624940.0 | 11.8 M |
| Check Genius Sports Volatility | Backtest Genius Sports | Information Ratio |
Genius Sports Trading Date Momentum
| On February 05 2026 Genius Sports was traded for 6.19 at the closing time. The top price for the day was 8.70 and the lowest listed price was 6.00 . The trading volume for the day was 38.2 M. The trading history from February 5, 2026 did not cause price change. The overall trading delta against the current closing price is 37.48% . |
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
| Compare Genius Sports to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for Genius Sports
For every potential investor in Genius, whether a beginner or expert, Genius Sports' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Genius Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Genius. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Genius Sports' price trends.Genius Sports Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Genius Sports stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Genius Sports could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Genius Sports by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Genius Sports Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Genius Sports stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Genius Sports shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Genius Sports stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Genius Sports entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 11.8 M | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.87) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.72 | |||
| Day Median Price | 7.35 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 6.96 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (2.33) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (2.35) |
Genius Sports Risk Indicators
The analysis of Genius Sports' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Genius Sports' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting genius stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.58 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.57 | |||
| Variance | 20.92 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Genius Sports
The number of cover stories for Genius Sports depends on current market conditions and Genius Sports' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Genius Sports is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Genius Sports' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Genius Sports Short Properties
Genius Sports' future price predictability will typically decrease when Genius Sports' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Genius Sports often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Genius Sports' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Genius Sports' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 229.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 110.2 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Genius Sports to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Genius Stock please use our How to Invest in Genius Sports guide.You can also try the Theme Ratings module to determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Is there potential for Interactive Media & Services market expansion? Will Genius introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Genius Sports. Market participants price Genius higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about Genius Sports listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.50) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.383 | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
Understanding Genius Sports requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Genius's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Genius Sports' is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Genius Sports' price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Genius Sports' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Genius Sports is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, Genius Sports' trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.