Global Fashion Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

GFG Stock  EUR 0.29  0.01  3.57%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Global Fashion Group on the next trading day is expected to be 0.29 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.55. Global Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Global Fashion's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 23rd of January 2026 the value of rsi of Global Fashion's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Global Fashion's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Global Fashion and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Global Fashion's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Global Fashion Group, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Global Fashion hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Global Fashion Group from the perspective of Global Fashion response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Global Fashion Group on the next trading day is expected to be 0.29 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.55.

Global Fashion after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 0.29  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Global Fashion to cross-verify your projections.

Global Fashion Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Global price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Global using various technical indicators. When you analyze Global charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A two period moving average forecast for Global Fashion is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Global Fashion Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 24th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Global Fashion Group on the next trading day is expected to be 0.29 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0002, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.55.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Global Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Global Fashion's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Global Fashion Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Global FashionGlobal Fashion Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Global Fashion Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Global Fashion's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Global Fashion's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 5.27, respectively. We have considered Global Fashion's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.29
0.29
Expected Value
5.27
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Global Fashion stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Global Fashion stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria105.6928
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 1.0E-4
MADMean absolute deviation0.0094
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.034
SAESum of the absolute errors0.555
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Global Fashion Group price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Global Fashion. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Global Fashion

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Global Fashion Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.295.27
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.245.22
Details

Global Fashion After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Global Fashion at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Global Fashion or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Global Fashion, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Global Fashion Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Global Fashion's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Global Fashion's historical news coverage. Global Fashion's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.01 and 5.27, respectively. We have considered Global Fashion's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.29
0.29
After-hype Price
5.27
Upside
Global Fashion is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Global Fashion Group is based on 3 months time horizon.

Global Fashion Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Global Fashion is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Global Fashion backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Global Fashion, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.12 
4.98
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.29
0.29
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Global Fashion Hype Timeline

Global Fashion Group is currently traded for 0.29on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Global is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.12%. %. The volatility of related hype on Global Fashion is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.29. About 29.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.4. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Global Fashion Group recorded a loss per share of 0.48. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in a few days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Global Fashion to cross-verify your projections.

Global Fashion Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Global Fashion's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Global Fashion's future price movements. Getting to know how Global Fashion's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Global Fashion may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Other Forecasting Options for Global Fashion

For every potential investor in Global, whether a beginner or expert, Global Fashion's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Global Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Global. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Global Fashion's price trends.

Global Fashion Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Global Fashion stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Global Fashion could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Global Fashion by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Global Fashion Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Global Fashion stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Global Fashion shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Global Fashion stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Global Fashion Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Global Fashion Risk Indicators

The analysis of Global Fashion's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Global Fashion's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting global stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Global Fashion

The number of cover stories for Global Fashion depends on current market conditions and Global Fashion's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Global Fashion is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Global Fashion's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Other Information on Investing in Global Stock

Global Fashion financial ratios help investors to determine whether Global Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Global with respect to the benefits of owning Global Fashion security.